Harrogate Town 59%Draw 16%Tamworth 25%Expected goals 2.64 – 1.69
68%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultHarrogate Town to win ✓59% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.90
Harrogate Town vs Tamworth: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Harrogate Town welcome Tamworth to Exercise Stadium for a National League fixture on Saturday 12 September (12:30 WAT). In the table, Harrogate Town are 2nd, among the top four, on 32 points after 16 matches; Tamworth are 20th (lower half) with 17. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Harrogate Town, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Scunthorpe, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Tamworth, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Middlesbrough U21, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours Harrogate Town, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Tamworth.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Harrogate Town 2.6 xG, Tamworth 1.7 xG – a total near 4.3. That is an open game on paper: 81% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Harrogate Town 59%, draw 16%, Tamworth 25%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Harrogate Town 2–1 Tamworth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Harrogate Town59%fair 1.69 · @1.75
Draw16%fair 6.25 · @3.90
Tamworth25%fair 4.03 · @3.70
4.33Expected goals
2.64Harrogate Town xG
1.69Tamworth xG
68%Both score
81%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–17%
2–27%
1–16%
3–26%
1–25%
From our goals model: Harrogate Town 2.6 – 1.7 Tamworth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Harrogate Town to win✓
59%
1.69
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.48
1.50
Draw no bet
Harrogate Town (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Tamworth +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
–
First team to score
Harrogate Town to score first
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Harrogate Town ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Harrogate Town / FT Harrogate Town✓
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.90
–
Recent results
Harrogate Town – last 6
WWLDWW
5 Sep
@ Scunthorpe
2–0
W
31 Aug
vs Gateshead
2–1
W
28 Aug
@ Aldershot Town
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Barrow
2–2
D
15 Aug
@ Wealdstone
3–1
W
8 Aug
vs Solihull Moors
5–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Tamworth – last 6
LDLWLW
9 Sep
vs Middlesbrough U21
1–3
L
5 Sep
vs Boston United
2–2
D
31 Aug
@ Yeovil Town
2–3
L
28 Aug
vs Worthing
3–2
W
22 Aug
@ FC Halifax Town
1–4
L
18 Aug
vs Newcastle United U21
5–3
W
2.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Harrogate Town and Tamworth.
What is the prediction for Harrogate Town vs Tamworth?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Harrogate Town vs Tamworth?
On our numbers Harrogate Town have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Tamworth 25%.
How many goals will there be in Harrogate Town vs Tamworth?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Harrogate Town vs Tamworth?
Our predicted score is Harrogate Town 2–1 Tamworth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Harrogate Town vs Tamworth?
Harrogate Town vs Tamworth (National League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Exercise Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
