Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Boreham Wood to win @ 1.70 – our chance 65% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBoreham Wood to win ✓65% · @1.70
Double chanceBoreham Wood or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Sutton Utd vs Boreham Wood: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 9 October the National League brings Sutton Utd against Boreham Wood at VBS Community Stadium. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Sutton Utd are 11th, upper half, on 24 points after 16 matches; Boreham Wood are 1st (leading the league) with 44. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sutton Utd, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kidderminster Harriers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Boreham Wood, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Altrincham, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Momentum favours Boreham Wood, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for Sutton Utd.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sutton Utd 0.9 xG, Boreham Wood 2.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sutton Utd 13%, draw 22%, Boreham Wood 65%.
Lower-risk option: Boreham Wood or draw (87%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Boreham Wood to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Boreham Wood or draw (87%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sutton Utd 0–2 Boreham Wood. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sutton Utd13%fair 7.83 · @4.33
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.60
Boreham Wood65%fair 1.54 · @1.70
3.13Expected goals
0.92Sutton Utd xG
2.21Boreham Wood xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
1–210%
0–110%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Sutton Utd 0.9 – 2.2 Boreham Wood expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boreham Wood to win✓
65%
1.54
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Boreham Wood or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.62
Draw no bet
Boreham Wood (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Boreham Wood -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
Boreham Wood to score first✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Boreham Wood ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boreham Wood / FT Boreham Wood✗
44%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Sutton Utd – last 6
DLDDWL
3 Oct
@ Kidderminster Harriers
1–1
D
30 Sep
@ Tamworth
0–2
L
26 Sep
vs Forest Green
3–3
D
19 Sep
@ FC Halifax Town
1–1
D
15 Sep
vs Eastleigh
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Scunthorpe
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Boreham Wood – last 6
WWWDWW
3 Oct
vs Altrincham
3–1
W
29 Sep
vs Kidderminster Harriers
3–1
W
26 Sep
@ Solihull Moors
3–0
W
23 Sep
vs Everton U21
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Harrogate Town
4–1
W
16 Sep
@ Scunthorpe
2–1
W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sutton Utd and Boreham Wood.
What is the prediction for Sutton Utd vs Boreham Wood?
Our pick is Boreham Wood or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sutton Utd vs Boreham Wood?
On our numbers Sutton Utd have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Boreham Wood 65%.
How many goals will there be in Sutton Utd vs Boreham Wood?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sutton Utd vs Boreham Wood?
Our predicted score is Sutton Utd 0–2 Boreham Wood, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Sutton Utd vs Boreham Wood?
Sutton Utd vs Boreham Wood (National League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at VBS Community Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
