Altrincham 62%Draw 22%Aldershot Town 15%Expected goals 1.89 – 0.82
85%
Betarazi pick
Altrincham or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Altrincham to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAltrincham to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceAltrincham or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Altrincham vs Aldershot Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:30 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Altrincham v Aldershot Town in the National League, played at Moss Lane. In the table, Altrincham are 7th, upper half, on 28 points after 16 matches; Aldershot Town are 14th (lower half) with 21.
Current form
Altrincham, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Boreham Wood, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Aldershot Town, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Carlisle, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Altrincham, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Aldershot Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Altrincham 1.9 xG, Aldershot Town 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Altrincham 62%, draw 22%, Aldershot Town 15%.
Lower-risk option: Altrincham or draw (85%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Altrincham to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Altrincham or draw (85%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Altrincham 1–0 Aldershot Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Altrincham62%fair 1.60 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.50
Aldershot Town15%fair 6.46 · @3.70
2.71Expected goals
1.89Altrincham xG
0.82Aldershot Town xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Altrincham 1.9 – 0.8 Aldershot Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Altrincham to win✓
62%
1.60
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Altrincham or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.53
Draw no bet
Altrincham (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Altrincham -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Altrincham to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Altrincham ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Altrincham / FT Altrincham✓
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Altrincham – last 6
LWWWWL
3 Oct
@ Boreham Wood
1–3
L
29 Sep
@ Gateshead
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs AFC Hornchurch
3–0
W
19 Sep
@ AFC Fylde
2–1
W
16 Sep
vs Hartlepool
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Woking
1–5
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Aldershot Town – last 6
LLWLDW
3 Oct
vs Carlisle
1–3
L
29 Sep
@ AFC Hornchurch
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs Tamworth
5–1
W
19 Sep
@ Barrow
0–1
L
15 Sep
vs Yeovil Town
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Solihull Moors
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Altrincham and Aldershot Town.
What is the prediction for Altrincham vs Aldershot Town?
Our pick is Altrincham or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Altrincham vs Aldershot Town?
On our numbers Altrincham have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aldershot Town 15%.
How many goals will there be in Altrincham vs Aldershot Town?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Altrincham vs Aldershot Town?
Our predicted score is Altrincham 1–0 Aldershot Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Altrincham vs Aldershot Town?
Altrincham vs Aldershot Town (National League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Moss Lane.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
