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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

AFC Fylde v AFC Hornchurch: numbers & prediction

National League · England · Mill Farm
3–1
FT
AFC Fylde 58%Draw 20%AFC Hornchurch 22% Expected goals 1.93 – 1.07
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultAFC Fylde to win ✓58% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08

AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

AFC Fylde welcome AFC Hornchurch to Mill Farm for a National League fixture on Friday 30 October (20:45 WAT). In the table, AFC Fylde are 4th, among the top four, on 29 points after 16 matches; AFC Hornchurch are 15th (lower half) with 21.

Current form

AFC Fylde, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Hartlepool, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

AFC Hornchurch, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Yeovil Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give AFC Fylde 1.9 xG, AFC Hornchurch 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Fylde 58%, draw 20%, AFC Hornchurch 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Fylde 1–1 AFC Hornchurch. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

AFC Fylde58%fair 1.71 · @1.73
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @3.75
AFC Hornchurch22%fair 4.58 · @4.00
3.00Expected goals
1.93AFC Fylde xG
1.07AFC Hornchurch xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: AFC Fylde 1.9 – 1.1 AFC Hornchurch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAFC Fylde to win ✓58%1.711.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.631.44
Draw no betAFC Fylde (draw no bet) ✓73%1.37–
Asian handicapAFC Hornchurch +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreAFC Fylde to score first61%1.64–
Half-time resultAFC Fylde ahead at half-time ✓42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT AFC Fylde / FT AFC Fylde ✓36%2.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.08–

Recent results

AFC Fylde – last 6

WLWWLL
27 Octvs Hartlepool3–1W
24 Oct@ Boreham Wood0–4L
17 Octvs Atherton Collieries5–0W
10 Octvs Scunthorpe2–0W
3 Oct@ Southend1–3L
29 Sepvs Carlisle0–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

AFC Hornchurch – last 6

LLWWDL
27 Octvs Yeovil Town1–2L
24 Oct@ Hartlepool1–2L
17 Oct@ Uxbridge4–0W
10 Octvs Eastleigh2–0W
6 Octvs Fulham U211–1D
3 Oct@ Harrogate Town0–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between AFC Fylde and AFC Hornchurch.

AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch head-to-head page →

National League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Boreham Wood161420+2744
2Harrogate Town161024+1132
3Southend16853+1129
4AFC Fylde16925+629
5Yeovil Town16844+1528
6Worthing16844+728
7Altrincham16916028
8Carlisle16754+926
9Barrow15744+725
10FC Halifax Town16736+824
11Sutton Utd16736-124
12Woking16637+121
13Kidderminster Harriers16565+121
14Aldershot Town16637021
15AFC Hornchurch16709-821
16Forest Green14545-119
17Eastleigh16547-619
18Wealdstone16538-618
19Boston United16538-818
20Tamworth15528-717
21Hartlepool165011-915
22Solihull Moors164111-2113
23Scunthorpe153111-1110
24Gateshead151113-254

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch?

On our numbers AFC Fylde have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and AFC Hornchurch 22%.

How many goals will there be in AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch?

Our predicted score is AFC Fylde 1–1 AFC Hornchurch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch?

AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch (National League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Mill Farm.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.