Altrincham v Carlisle Prediction & Expected Goals (31 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultCarlisle to win ✓45% · @2.25

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.50

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.03

Altrincham vs Carlisle: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Carlisle travel to face Altrincham on Saturday 31 October in the National League, with Moss Lane the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Altrincham are 7th, upper half, on 28 points after 16 matches; Carlisle are 8th (upper half) with 26. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Altrincham, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Kidderminster Harriers, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Carlisle, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Harrogate Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Carlisle, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Altrincham.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Altrincham 1.4 xG, Carlisle 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Altrincham 34%, draw 21%, Carlisle 45%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Altrincham 1–1 Carlisle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Altrincham34%fair 2.98 · @2.75

Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.40

Carlisle45%fair 2.22 · @2.25

3.03Expected goals

1.38Altrincham xG

1.65Carlisle xG

64%Both score

58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–29%

0–18%

2–18%

1–07%

0–27%

From our goals model: Altrincham 1.4 – 1.6 Carlisle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Carlisle to win ✓	45%	2.22	2.25
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.27	1.29
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	64%	1.57	1.50
Draw no bet	Carlisle (draw no bet) ✓	57%	1.74	–
Asian handicap	Altrincham +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	71%	1.40	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	81%	1.24	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	58%	1.71	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	64%	1.56	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	81%	1.23	–
First team to score	Carlisle to score first	52%	1.93	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	39%	2.54	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Carlisle / FT Carlisle ✗	26%	3.80	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.03	–

Altrincham – last 6

DWWDWL

27 Oct	vs Kidderminster Harriers	0–0	D
24 Oct	@ Yeovil Town	2–1	W
20 Oct	@ United of Manchester	6–2	W
17 Oct	vs United of Manchester	0–0	D
10 Oct	vs Aldershot Town	3–1	W
3 Oct	@ Boreham Wood	1–3	L

2.0Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Carlisle – last 6

WWWDWW

28 Oct	vs Harrogate Town	3–0	W
24 Oct	@ Solihull Moors	2–1	W
17 Oct	vs Tamworth	2–1	W
10 Oct	vs Kidderminster Harriers	0–0	D
3 Oct	@ Aldershot Town	3–1	W
29 Sep	@ AFC Fylde	2–0	W

2.0Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	16	14	2	0	+27	44
2	Harrogate Town	16	10	2	4	+11	32
3	Southend	16	8	5	3	+11	29
4	AFC Fylde	16	9	2	5	+6	29
5	Yeovil Town	16	8	4	4	+15	28
6	Worthing	16	8	4	4	+7	28
7	Altrincham	16	9	1	6	0	28
8	Carlisle	16	7	5	4	+9	26
9	Barrow	15	7	4	4	+7	25
10	FC Halifax Town	16	7	3	6	+8	24
11	Sutton Utd	16	7	3	6	-1	24
12	Woking	16	6	3	7	+1	21
13	Kidderminster Harriers	16	5	6	5	+1	21
14	Aldershot Town	16	6	3	7	0	21
15	AFC Hornchurch	16	7	0	9	-8	21
16	Forest Green	14	5	4	5	-1	19
17	Eastleigh	16	5	4	7	-6	19
18	Wealdstone	16	5	3	8	-6	18
19	Boston United	16	5	3	8	-8	18
20	Tamworth	15	5	2	8	-7	17
21	Hartlepool	16	5	0	11	-9	15
22	Solihull Moors	16	4	1	11	-21	13
23	Scunthorpe	15	3	1	11	-11	10
24	Gateshead	15	1	1	13	-25	4

Team

Pts

+27

+11

+11

+15

-1

Kidderminster Harriers

-8

-1

-6

-6

-8

-7

-9

-21

-11

-25

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Altrincham vs Carlisle?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Altrincham vs Carlisle?

On our numbers Altrincham have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Carlisle 45%.

How many goals will there be in Altrincham vs Carlisle?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Altrincham vs Carlisle?

Our predicted score is Altrincham 1–1 Carlisle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Altrincham vs Carlisle?

Altrincham vs Carlisle (National League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Moss Lane.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Altrincham v Carlisle: numbers & prediction