Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.35Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.93 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultEsenler Erokspor to win ✗63% · @1.77
Double chanceEsenler Erokspor or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.62
Esenler Erokspor vs Sarıyer: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Esenler Erokspor welcome Sarıyer to Esenler Stadium for a 1. Lig fixture on Friday 14 August (19:30 WAT). In the table, Esenler Erokspor are 10th, upper half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Sarıyer are 13th (lower half) with 17. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Esenler Erokspor, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sivasspor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Sarıyer, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Muğlaspor, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sarıyer, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Esenler Erokspor.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Sarıyer 1–0 Esenler Erokspor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Esenler Erokspor 1.4 xG, Sarıyer 0.5 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Esenler Erokspor 63%, draw 22%, Sarıyer 15%.
Lower-risk option: Esenler Erokspor or draw (85%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.35 – longer than our fair 1.27, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Esenler Erokspor 1–0 Sarıyer. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Esenler Erokspor63%fair 1.58 · @1.77
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.45
Sarıyer15%fair 6.86 · @4.00
1.87Expected goals
1.41Esenler Erokspor xG
0.46Sarıyer xG
49%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–022%
0–015%
2–015%
1–110%
3–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Esenler Erokspor 1.4 – 0.5 Sarıyer expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Esenler Erokspor vs Sarıyer?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Esenler Erokspor vs Sarıyer?
On our numbers Esenler Erokspor have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sarıyer 15%.
How many goals will there be in Esenler Erokspor vs Sarıyer?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esenler Erokspor vs Sarıyer?
Our predicted score is Esenler Erokspor 1–0 Sarıyer, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Esenler Erokspor vs Sarıyer?
Esenler Erokspor vs Sarıyer (1. Lig) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Esenler Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
