Fatih Karagümrük vs Bursaspor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bursaspor travel to face Fatih Karagümrük on Friday 21 August in the 1. Lig, with Atatürk Olympic Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Fatih Karagümrük are 9th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Bursaspor are 1st (leading the league) with 32. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Fatih Karagümrük, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ümraniyespor, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Bursaspor, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Iğdır FK, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Bursaspor, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Fatih Karagümrük.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fatih Karagümrük 0.9 xG, Bursaspor 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fatih Karagümrük 31%, draw 22%, Bursaspor 47%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fatih Karagümrük 1–1 Bursaspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fatih Karagümrük31%fair 3.19 · @3.25
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.30
Bursaspor47%fair 2.13 · @2.05
2.00Expected goals
0.85Fatih Karagümrük xG
1.15Bursaspor xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–014%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Fatih Karagümrük 0.9 – 1.1 Bursaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bursaspor to win✗
47%
2.13
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.70
Draw no bet
Bursaspor (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Fatih Karagümrük +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Bursaspor to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bursaspor / FT Bursaspor✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.15
–
Recent results
Fatih Karagümrük – last 6
WLDLWL
15 Aug
vs Ümraniyespor
2–1
W
9 Aug
@ Iğdır FK
0–2
L
27 Apr
@ Beşiktaş
0–0
D
12 Apr
@ Konyaspor
0–3
L
5 Apr
vs Rizespor
2–1
W
19 Mar
@ Kayserispor
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bursaspor – last 6
WWDWWD
15 Aug
vs Iğdır FK
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Bodrum FK
2–0
W
26 Jul
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Somaspor
5–1
W
12 Apr
@ Ankara Demirspor
1–0
W
28 Mar
@ Fethiyespor
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fatih Karagümrük and Bursaspor.
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrük vs Bursaspor?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Fatih Karagümrük vs Bursaspor?
On our numbers Fatih Karagümrük have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bursaspor 47%.
How many goals will there be in Fatih Karagümrük vs Bursaspor?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fatih Karagümrük vs Bursaspor?
Our predicted score is Fatih Karagümrük 1–1 Bursaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Fatih Karagümrük vs Bursaspor?
Fatih Karagümrük vs Bursaspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Atatürk Olympic Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
