Keçiörengücü v Ümraniyespor Prediction & Expected Goals (28 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultKeçiörengücü to win ✗60% · @1.55

Double chanceKeçiörengücü or draw ✓81% · @1.09

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.91

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06

Keçiörengücü vs Ümraniyespor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Friday 28 August: Keçiörengücü v Ümraniyespor in the 1. Lig, played at Aktepe Stadium. In the table, Keçiörengücü are 6th, upper half, on 23 points after 14 matches; Ümraniyespor are 12th (lower half) with 17.

Current form

Keçiörengücü, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bandırmaspor, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Ümraniyespor, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Esenler Erokspor, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Keçiörengücü, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Ümraniyespor.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Keçiörengücü 1.9 xG, Ümraniyespor 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Keçiörengücü 60%, draw 22%, Ümraniyespor 19%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Keçiörengücü 1–1 Ümraniyespor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Keçiörengücü60%fair 1.67 · @1.55

Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.65

Ümraniyespor19%fair 5.39 · @5.40

2.89Expected goals

1.92Keçiörengücü xG

0.96Ümraniyespor xG

57%Both score

52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%

1–110%

2–010%

2–110%

3–07%

3–16%

From our goals model: Keçiörengücü 1.9 – 1.0 Ümraniyespor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Keçiörengücü to win ✗	60%	1.67	1.55
Double chance	Keçiörengücü or draw ✓	81%	1.23	1.09
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	57%	1.74	1.91 ▲
Draw no bet	Keçiörengücü (draw no bet)	76%	1.31	–
Asian handicap	Ümraniyespor +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	65%	1.55	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	75%	1.34	1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	52%	1.93	1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	69%	1.44	1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	83%	1.20	–
First team to score	Keçiörengücü to score first	63%	1.59	–
Half-time result	Keçiörengücü ahead at half-time ✗	43%	2.30	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Keçiörengücü / FT Keçiörengücü ✗	38%	2.65	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.06	–

Keçiörengücü – last 6

DWLLWL

23 Aug	@ Bandırmaspor	1–1	D
16 Aug	vs Pendikspor	4–1	W
8 Aug	@ Antalyaspor	3–4	L
7 May	@ Çorum FK	0–1	L
26 Apr	vs Manisa F.K.	2–1	W
19 Apr	@ Esenler Erokspor	0–1	L

1.7Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Ümraniyespor – last 6

DLDLLD

22 Aug	vs Esenler Erokspor	1–1	D
15 Aug	@ Fatih Karagümrük	1–2	L
8 Aug	vs Mardin 1969	0–0	D
17 Jul	vs Galatasaray	1–5	L
19 Apr	vs Vanspor FK	1–2	L
13 Apr	@ Amed	2–2	D

1.0Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bursaspor	14	10	2	2	+18	32
2	Kayserispor	14	9	3	2	+22	30
3	Iğdır FK	14	8	4	2	+8	28
4	Mardin 1969	14	7	4	3	+6	25
5	Batman Petrolspor	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Keçiörengücü	14	6	5	3	+8	23
7	Bodrum FK	14	5	6	3	+5	21
8	Antalyaspor	14	6	2	6	-1	20
9	Fatih Karagümrük	14	5	4	5	+4	19
10	Esenler Erokspor	14	4	6	4	+2	18
11	Muğlaspor	14	4	6	4	-7	18
12	Ümraniyespor	13	4	5	4	+4	17
13	Sarıyer	14	4	5	5	-4	17
14	Vanspor FK	14	5	3	6	-6	16
15	Bandırmaspor	14	3	5	6	0	14
16	Pendikspor	14	3	5	6	-10	14
17	Manisa F.K.	14	3	4	7	-3	13
18	Sivasspor	14	2	7	5	-6	13
19	İstanbulspor	14	2	2	10	-21	8
20	Boluspor	13	1	1	11	-22	4

Team

Pts

+18

+22

-1

-7

-4

-6

-10

-3

-6

-21

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Keçiörengücü vs Ümraniyespor?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Keçiörengücü vs Ümraniyespor?

On our numbers Keçiörengücü have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ümraniyespor 19%.

How many goals will there be in Keçiörengücü vs Ümraniyespor?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Keçiörengücü vs Ümraniyespor?

Our predicted score is Keçiörengücü 1–1 Ümraniyespor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Keçiörengücü vs Ümraniyespor?

Keçiörengücü vs Ümraniyespor (1. Lig) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Aktepe Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Keçiörengücü v Ümraniyespor: numbers & prediction