Mardin 1969 65%Draw 25%Vanspor FK 10%Expected goals 2.07 – 0.76
65%
Betarazi pick
Mardin 1969 to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultMardin 1969 to win ✗65% · @1.55
Double chanceMardin 1969 or draw ✓90% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.42
Mardin 1969 vs Vanspor FK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Mardin 1969 v Vanspor FK in the 1. Lig. In the table, Mardin 1969 are 4th, among the top four, on 25 points after 14 matches; Vanspor FK are 14th (lower half) with 16.
Current form
Mardin 1969, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Boluspor, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Vanspor FK, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over İstanbulspor, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mardin 1969, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Vanspor FK.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mardin 1969 2.1 xG, Vanspor FK 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mardin 1969 65%, draw 25%, Vanspor FK 10%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mardin 1969 to win (65%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mardin 1969 2–0 Vanspor FK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mardin 196965%fair 1.53 · @1.55
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.75
Vanspor FK10%fair 10.10 · @5.80
2.83Expected goals
2.07Mardin 1969 xG
0.76Vanspor FK xG
51%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Mardin 1969 2.1 – 0.8 Vanspor FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mardin 1969 to win✗
65%
1.53
1.55
Double chance
Mardin 1969 or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Draw no bet
Mardin 1969 (draw no bet)
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Mardin 1969 -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Mardin 1969 to score first
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Mardin 1969 ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mardin 1969 / FT Mardin 1969✗
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.42
–
Recent results
Mardin 1969 – last 6
WWDDWW
23 Aug
@ Boluspor
3–0
W
16 Aug
vs Antalyaspor
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ Ümraniyespor
0–0
D
30 Apr
@ Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Güzide Gebzespor
2–1
W
12 Apr
vs Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vanspor FK – last 6
WLLLLW
23 Aug
vs İstanbulspor
3–2
W
15 Aug
@ Manisa F.K.
1–4
L
9 Aug
vs Kayserispor
0–2
L
1 May
@ Hatayspor
1–3
L
25 Apr
vs İstanbulspor
1–3
L
19 Apr
@ Ümraniyespor
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mardin 1969 and Vanspor FK.
What is the prediction for Mardin 1969 vs Vanspor FK?
Our pick is Mardin 1969 to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Mardin 1969 vs Vanspor FK?
On our numbers Mardin 1969 have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Vanspor FK 10%.
How many goals will there be in Mardin 1969 vs Vanspor FK?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mardin 1969 vs Vanspor FK?
Our predicted score is Mardin 1969 2–0 Vanspor FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Mardin 1969 vs Vanspor FK?
Mardin 1969 vs Vanspor FK (1. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
