Fatih Karagümrük v Kayserispor Prediction & Expected Goals (2 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultFatih Karagümrük to win ✗40% · @2.35

Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.50

Fatih Karagümrük vs Kayserispor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Fatih Karagümrük welcome Kayserispor to Yusuf Ziya Öniş Stadium for a 1. Lig fixture on Wednesday 2 September (18:00 WAT). In the table, Fatih Karagümrük are 9th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Kayserispor are 2nd (among the top four) with 30.

Current form

Fatih Karagümrük, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with İstanbulspor, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Kayserispor, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Bursaspor, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Kayserispor, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Fatih Karagümrük.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Mar 2026) it ended Kayserispor 1–0 Fatih Karagümrük.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fatih Karagümrük 1.2 xG, Kayserispor 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Fatih Karagümrük 40%, draw 22%, Kayserispor 38%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fatih Karagümrük 1–1 Kayserispor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fatih Karagümrük40%fair 2.50 · @2.35

Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.30

Kayserispor38%fair 2.61 · @2.70

2.43Expected goals

1.23Fatih Karagümrük xG

1.20Kayserispor xG

56%Both score

46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–011%

0–111%

0–09%

2–18%

1–28%

From our goals model: Fatih Karagümrük 1.2 – 1.2 Kayserispor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Fatih Karagümrük to win ✗	40%	2.50	2.35
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	78%	1.28	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	56%	1.78	1.70
Draw no bet	Fatih Karagümrük (draw no bet)	51%	1.96	–
Asian handicap	Kayserispor +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.59	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	71%	1.41	1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	54%	1.85	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	75%	1.34	1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.11	–
First team to score	Fatih Karagümrük to score first	46%	2.16	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	45%	2.23	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Fatih Karagümrük / FT Fatih Karagümrük ✗	21%	4.72	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.50	–

Fatih Karagümrük – last 6

DWWLDL

29 Aug	@ İstanbulspor	1–1	D
21 Aug	vs Bursaspor	2–1	W
15 Aug	vs Ümraniyespor	2–1	W
9 Aug	@ Iğdır FK	0–2	L
27 Apr	@ Beşiktaş	0–0	D
12 Apr	@ Konyaspor	0–3	L

0.8Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Kayserispor – last 6

LWWWWL

29 Aug	vs Bursaspor	1–2	L
22 Aug	@ Iğdır FK	1–0	W
16 Aug	vs Sivasspor	2–0	W
9 Aug	@ Vanspor FK	2–0	W
17 May	vs Konyaspor	2–1	W
20 Apr	@ Gaziantep FK	0–3	L

1.3Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bursaspor	14	10	2	2	+18	32
2	Kayserispor	14	9	3	2	+22	30
3	Iğdır FK	14	8	4	2	+8	28
4	Mardin 1969	14	7	4	3	+6	25
5	Batman Petrolspor	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Keçiörengücü	14	6	5	3	+8	23
7	Bodrum FK	14	5	6	3	+5	21
8	Antalyaspor	14	6	2	6	-1	20
9	Fatih Karagümrük	14	5	4	5	+4	19
10	Esenler Erokspor	14	4	6	4	+2	18
11	Muğlaspor	14	4	6	4	-7	18
12	Ümraniyespor	13	4	5	4	+4	17
13	Sarıyer	14	4	5	5	-4	17
14	Vanspor FK	14	5	3	6	-6	16
15	Bandırmaspor	14	3	5	6	0	14
16	Pendikspor	14	3	5	6	-10	14
17	Manisa F.K.	14	3	4	7	-3	13
18	Sivasspor	14	2	7	5	-6	13
19	İstanbulspor	14	2	2	10	-21	8
20	Boluspor	13	1	1	11	-22	4

Team

Pts

+18

+22

-1

-7

-4

-6

-10

-3

-6

-21

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrük vs Kayserispor?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Fatih Karagümrük vs Kayserispor?

On our numbers Fatih Karagümrük have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kayserispor 38%.

How many goals will there be in Fatih Karagümrük vs Kayserispor?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fatih Karagümrük vs Kayserispor?

Our predicted score is Fatih Karagümrük 1–1 Kayserispor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Fatih Karagümrük vs Kayserispor?

Fatih Karagümrük vs Kayserispor (1. Lig) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Yusuf Ziya Öniş Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Fatih Karagümrük v Kayserispor: numbers & prediction