Ümraniyespor v Muğlaspor Prediction & Expected Goals (1 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultMuğlaspor to win ✓38% · @2.85

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.67

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.15

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14% · fair 7.05

Ümraniyespor vs Muğlaspor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Muğlaspor travel to face Ümraniyespor on Tuesday 1 September in the 1. Lig, with Ümraniye Belediyesi Sehir Stadi the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Ümraniyespor are 12th, lower half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Muğlaspor are 11th (lower half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Ümraniyespor, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Keçiörengücü, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Muğlaspor, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Boluspor, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Muğlaspor, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Ümraniyespor.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ümraniyespor 1.0 xG, Muğlaspor 1.0 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Ümraniyespor 37%, draw 25%, Muğlaspor 38%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Muğlaspor to win @2.85 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ümraniyespor 0–0 Muğlaspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ümraniyespor37%fair 2.68 · @2.50

Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.90

Muğlaspor38%fair 2.63 · @2.85

1.92Expected goals

0.95Ümraniyespor xG

0.97Muğlaspor xG

48%Both score

34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–015%

0–114%

1–014%

1–114%

0–27%

2–07%

From our goals model: Ümraniyespor 1.0 – 1.0 Muğlaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Muğlaspor to win ✓	38%	2.63	2.85 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.33	1.30
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	52%	1.93	1.67
Draw no bet	Muğlaspor (draw no bet) ✓	50%	1.98	–
Asian handicap	Ümraniyespor +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	65%	1.53	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	60%	1.67	1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	66%	1.52	1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	95%	1.05	–
First team to score	Muğlaspor to score first ✓	43%	2.33	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	51%	1.96	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✗	23%	4.39	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✓	14%	7.05	–

Ümraniyespor – last 6

DDLDLL

28 Aug	@ Keçiörengücü	2–2	D
22 Aug	vs Esenler Erokspor	1–1	D
15 Aug	@ Fatih Karagümrük	1–2	L
8 Aug	vs Mardin 1969	0–0	D
17 Jul	vs Galatasaray	1–5	L
19 Apr	vs Vanspor FK	1–2	L

1.0Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Muğlaspor – last 6

WDDLDW

28 Aug	vs Boluspor	2–0	W
22 Aug	@ Bodrum FK	0–0	D
16 Aug	vs Bandırmaspor	0–0	D
9 Aug	@ Sarıyer	0–2	L
4 May	vs Şanlıurfaspor	1–1	D
30 Apr	@ Şanlıurfaspor	1–0	W

0.7Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

17%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bursaspor	14	10	2	2	+18	32
2	Kayserispor	14	9	3	2	+22	30
3	Iğdır FK	14	8	4	2	+8	28
4	Mardin 1969	14	7	4	3	+6	25
5	Batman Petrolspor	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Keçiörengücü	14	6	5	3	+8	23
7	Bodrum FK	14	5	6	3	+5	21
8	Antalyaspor	14	6	2	6	-1	20
9	Fatih Karagümrük	14	5	4	5	+4	19
10	Esenler Erokspor	14	4	6	4	+2	18
11	Muğlaspor	14	4	6	4	-7	18
12	Ümraniyespor	13	4	5	4	+4	17
13	Sarıyer	14	4	5	5	-4	17
14	Vanspor FK	14	5	3	6	-6	16
15	Bandırmaspor	14	3	5	6	0	14
16	Pendikspor	14	3	5	6	-10	14
17	Manisa F.K.	14	3	4	7	-3	13
18	Sivasspor	14	2	7	5	-6	13
19	İstanbulspor	14	2	2	10	-21	8
20	Boluspor	13	1	1	11	-22	4

Team

Pts

+18

+22

-1

-7

-4

-6

-10

-3

-6

-21

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ümraniyespor vs Muğlaspor?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Ümraniyespor vs Muğlaspor?

On our numbers Ümraniyespor have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Muğlaspor 38%.

How many goals will there be in Ümraniyespor vs Muğlaspor?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ümraniyespor vs Muğlaspor?

Our predicted score is Ümraniyespor 0–0 Muğlaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Ümraniyespor vs Muğlaspor?

Ümraniyespor vs Muğlaspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ümraniye Belediyesi Sehir Stadi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Ümraniyespor v Muğlaspor: numbers & prediction