Manisa F.K. 15%Draw 20%Bursaspor 65%Expected goals 0.93 – 2.17
85%
Betarazi pick
Bursaspor or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Bursaspor to win @ 1.70 – our chance 65% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBursaspor to win ✓65% · @1.70
Double chanceBursaspor or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.14
Manisa F.K. vs Bursaspor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Monday 7 September: Manisa F.K. v Bursaspor in the 1. Lig, played at Mumin Ozkasap Spor Tesisleri. In the table, Manisa F.K. are 17th, lower half, on 13 points after 14 matches; Bursaspor are 1st (leading the league) with 32. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Manisa F.K., last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Iğdır FK, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Bursaspor, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over İstanbulspor, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Manisa F.K. 0.9 xG, Bursaspor 2.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Manisa F.K. 15%, draw 20%, Bursaspor 65%.
Lower-risk option: Bursaspor or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Bursaspor to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bursaspor or draw (85%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manisa F.K. 0–2 Bursaspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Manisa F.K.15%fair 6.78 · @4.20
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @3.75
Bursaspor65%fair 1.53 · @1.70
3.10Expected goals
0.93Manisa F.K. xG
2.17Bursaspor xG
60%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
1–210%
0–110%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Manisa F.K. 0.9 – 2.2 Bursaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bursaspor to win✓
65%
1.53
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Bursaspor or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.62
Draw no bet
Bursaspor (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Bursaspor -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Bursaspor to score first
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Bursaspor ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bursaspor / FT Bursaspor✗
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Manisa F.K. – last 6
LDDWWW
3 Sep
@ Iğdır FK
2–4
L
30 Aug
vs Bodrum FK
0–0
D
24 Aug
@ Sivasspor
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Vanspor FK
4–1
W
7 Aug
@ Boluspor
2–1
W
1 May
vs Sakaryaspor
5–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Bursaspor – last 6
WWLWWD
3 Sep
vs İstanbulspor
4–0
W
29 Aug
@ Kayserispor
2–1
W
21 Aug
@ Fatih Karagümrük
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Iğdır FK
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Bodrum FK
2–0
W
26 Jul
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manisa F.K. and Bursaspor.
What is the prediction for Manisa F.K. vs Bursaspor?
Our pick is Bursaspor or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Manisa F.K. vs Bursaspor?
On our numbers Manisa F.K. have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Bursaspor 65%.
How many goals will there be in Manisa F.K. vs Bursaspor?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manisa F.K. vs Bursaspor?
Our predicted score is Manisa F.K. 0–2 Bursaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Manisa F.K. vs Bursaspor?
Manisa F.K. vs Bursaspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Mumin Ozkasap Spor Tesisleri.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
