Muğlaspor 62%Draw 23%Vanspor FK 15%Expected goals 1.52 – 0.58
85%
Betarazi pick
Muğlaspor or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Muğlaspor to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMuğlaspor to win ✗62% · @1.85
Double chanceMuğlaspor or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.36
Muğlaspor vs Vanspor FK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Sunday 6 September: Muğlaspor v Vanspor FK in the 1. Lig. In the table, Muğlaspor are 11th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Vanspor FK are 14th (lower half) with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Muğlaspor, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ümraniyespor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Vanspor FK, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Batman Petrolspor, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Muğlaspor, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Vanspor FK.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Muğlaspor 1.5 xG, Vanspor FK 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Muğlaspor 62%, draw 23%, Vanspor FK 15%.
Lower-risk option: Muğlaspor or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Muğlaspor to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Muğlaspor or draw (85%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Muğlaspor 1–0 Vanspor FK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Muğlaspor62%fair 1.61 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.25
Vanspor FK15%fair 6.51 · @4.20
2.10Expected goals
1.52Muğlaspor xG
0.58Vanspor FK xG
45%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Muğlaspor 1.5 – 0.6 Vanspor FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Muğlaspor to win✗
62%
1.61
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Muğlaspor or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.85
Draw no bet
Muğlaspor (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Muğlaspor -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Muğlaspor to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Muğlaspor / FT Muğlaspor✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.36
–
Recent results
Muğlaspor – last 6
WWDDLD
1 Sep
@ Ümraniyespor
1–0
W
28 Aug
vs Boluspor
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Bodrum FK
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Bandırmaspor
0–0
D
9 Aug
@ Sarıyer
0–2
L
4 May
vs Şanlıurfaspor
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Vanspor FK – last 6
LDWLLL
2 Sep
vs Batman Petrolspor
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Mardin 1969
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs İstanbulspor
3–2
W
15 Aug
@ Manisa F.K.
1–4
L
9 Aug
vs Kayserispor
0–2
L
1 May
@ Hatayspor
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Muğlaspor and Vanspor FK.
What is the prediction for Muğlaspor vs Vanspor FK?
Our pick is Muğlaspor or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Muğlaspor vs Vanspor FK?
On our numbers Muğlaspor have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vanspor FK 15%.
How many goals will there be in Muğlaspor vs Vanspor FK?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Muğlaspor vs Vanspor FK?
Our predicted score is Muğlaspor 1–0 Vanspor FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Muğlaspor vs Vanspor FK?
Muğlaspor vs Vanspor FK (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
