Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Pendikspor to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPendikspor to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chancePendikspor or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Pendikspor vs Ümraniyespor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pendikspor welcome Ümraniyespor to Pendik Stadium for a 1. Lig fixture on Saturday 5 September (18:00 WAT). In the table, Pendikspor are 16th, lower half, on 14 points after 14 matches; Ümraniyespor are 12th (lower half) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Pendikspor, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sarıyer, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Ümraniyespor, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Muğlaspor, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pendikspor 1.9 xG, Ümraniyespor 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pendikspor 61%, draw 20%, Ümraniyespor 19%.
Lower-risk option: Pendikspor or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Pendikspor to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pendikspor or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pendikspor 1–0 Ümraniyespor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pendikspor61%fair 1.63 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.50
Ümraniyespor19%fair 5.38 · @4.20
2.80Expected goals
1.89Pendikspor xG
0.91Ümraniyespor xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Pendikspor 1.9 – 0.9 Ümraniyespor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pendikspor to win✓
61%
1.63
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Pendikspor or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.91
Draw no bet
Pendikspor (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Pendikspor -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Pendikspor to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Pendikspor ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pendikspor / FT Pendikspor✓
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Pendikspor – last 6
LDWLDL
1 Sep
@ Sarıyer
0–2
L
28 Aug
vs Bandırmaspor
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Antalyaspor
3–2
W
16 Aug
@ Keçiörengücü
1–4
L
10 Aug
vs Batman Petrolspor
2–2
D
7 May
@ Bodrum FK
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ümraniyespor – last 6
LDDLDL
1 Sep
vs Muğlaspor
0–1
L
28 Aug
@ Keçiörengücü
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Esenler Erokspor
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Fatih Karagümrük
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Mardin 1969
0–0
D
17 Jul
vs Galatasaray
1–5
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pendikspor and Ümraniyespor.
What is the prediction for Pendikspor vs Ümraniyespor?
Our pick is Pendikspor or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Pendikspor vs Ümraniyespor?
On our numbers Pendikspor have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ümraniyespor 19%.
How many goals will there be in Pendikspor vs Ümraniyespor?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pendikspor vs Ümraniyespor?
Our predicted score is Pendikspor 1–0 Ümraniyespor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Pendikspor vs Ümraniyespor?
Pendikspor vs Ümraniyespor (1. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Pendik Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
