Keçiörengücü 58%Draw 26%Iğdır FK 16%Expected goals 1.91 – 0.92
84%
Betarazi pick
Keçiörengücü or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Keçiörengücü to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKeçiörengücü to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceKeçiörengücü or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Iğdır FK travel to face Keçiörengücü on Wednesday 14 October in the 1. Lig, with Aktepe Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Keçiörengücü are 6th, upper half, on 23 points after 14 matches; Iğdır FK are 3rd (among the top four) with 28.
Current form
Keçiörengücü, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bodrum FK, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Iğdır FK, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Batman Petrolspor, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Iğdır FK, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for Keçiörengücü.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Apr 2026) it ended Iğdır FK 0–1 Keçiörengücü.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Keçiörengücü 1.9 xG, Iğdır FK 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Keçiörengücü 58%, draw 26%, Iğdır FK 16%.
Lower-risk option: Keçiörengücü or draw (84%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Keçiörengücü to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Keçiörengücü or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Keçiörengücü 1–0 Iğdır FK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Keçiörengücü58%fair 1.71 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.30
Iğdır FK16%fair 6.44 · @3.50
2.83Expected goals
1.91Keçiörengücü xG
0.92Iğdır FK xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Keçiörengücü 1.9 – 0.9 Iğdır FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK?
Our pick is Keçiörengücü or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK?
On our numbers Keçiörengücü have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Iğdır FK 16%.
How many goals will there be in Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK?
Our predicted score is Keçiörengücü 1–0 Iğdır FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK?
Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK (1. Lig) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Aktepe Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.