Value bet: Ümraniyespor to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVanspor FK to win ✗40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.27
Vanspor FK vs Ümraniyespor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Vanspor FK v Ümraniyespor in the 1. Lig, played at Spor Toto Akhisar Stadyumu. In the table, Vanspor FK are 14th, lower half, on 16 points after 14 matches; Ümraniyespor are 12th (lower half) with 17. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Vanspor FK, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Pendikspor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Ümraniyespor, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sarıyer, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Ümraniyespor 1–2 Vanspor FK.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vanspor FK 1.3 xG, Ümraniyespor 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vanspor FK 40%, draw 23%, Ümraniyespor 37%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Ümraniyespor to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vanspor FK 1–1 Ümraniyespor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vanspor FK40%fair 2.50 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.20
Ümraniyespor37%fair 2.68 · @3.00
2.47Expected goals
1.26Vanspor FK xG
1.21Ümraniyespor xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Vanspor FK 1.3 – 1.2 Ümraniyespor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vanspor FK vs Ümraniyespor?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Vanspor FK vs Ümraniyespor?
On our numbers Vanspor FK have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ümraniyespor 37%.
How many goals will there be in Vanspor FK vs Ümraniyespor?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vanspor FK vs Ümraniyespor?
Our predicted score is Vanspor FK 1–1 Ümraniyespor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Vanspor FK vs Ümraniyespor?
Vanspor FK vs Ümraniyespor (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Spor Toto Akhisar Stadyumu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
