Keçiörengücü v Bursaspor Prediction & Expected Goals (25 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultBursaspor to win ✓44% · @2.05

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.14

Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Keçiörengücü v Bursaspor in the 1. Lig, played at Aktepe Stadium. In the table, Keçiörengücü are 6th, upper half, on 23 points after 14 matches; Bursaspor are 1st (leading the league) with 32.

Current form

Keçiörengücü, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fatih Karagümrük, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Bursaspor, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Pendikspor, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Keçiörengücü 1.3 xG, Bursaspor 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Keçiörengücü 34%, draw 23%, Bursaspor 44%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Keçiörengücü to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Keçiörengücü 1–1 Bursaspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Keçiörengücü34%fair 2.98 · @3.40

Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.20

Bursaspor44%fair 2.29 · @2.05

2.86Expected goals

1.32Keçiörengücü xG

1.54Bursaspor xG

59%Both score

54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–29%

0–19%

2–18%

1–08%

0–27%

From our goals model: Keçiörengücü 1.3 – 1.5 Bursaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Bursaspor to win ✓	44%	2.29	2.05
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.29	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	59%	1.70	1.65
Draw no bet	Bursaspor (draw no bet) ✓	57%	1.77	–
Asian handicap	Keçiörengücü +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	73%	1.37	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	54%	1.84	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	68%	1.47	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	84%	1.19	–
First team to score	Bursaspor to score first	51%	1.97	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	41%	2.45	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Bursaspor / FT Bursaspor ✗	25%	3.94	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.14	–

Keçiörengücü – last 6

WDWDDW

19 Oct	@ Fatih Karagümrük	2–1	W
14 Oct	vs Iğdır FK	0–0	D
9 Oct	@ Bodrum FK	2–0	W
19 Sep	vs Sivasspor	1–1	D
12 Sep	@ Vanspor FK	1–1	D
5 Sep	vs Sarıyer	3–0	W

1.5Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Bursaspor – last 6

WWLWDW

19 Oct	vs Pendikspor	2–0	W
15 Oct	@ Muğlaspor	3–0	W
11 Oct	vs Mardin 1969	1–2	L
19 Sep	@ Batman Petrolspor	2–1	W
13 Sep	vs Esenler Erokspor	2–2	D
7 Sep	@ Manisa F.K.	2–1	W

2.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bursaspor	14	10	2	2	+18	32
2	Kayserispor	14	9	3	2	+22	30
3	Iğdır FK	14	8	4	2	+8	28
4	Mardin 1969	14	7	4	3	+6	25
5	Batman Petrolspor	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Keçiörengücü	14	6	5	3	+8	23
7	Bodrum FK	14	5	6	3	+5	21
8	Antalyaspor	14	6	2	6	-1	20
9	Fatih Karagümrük	14	5	4	5	+4	19
10	Esenler Erokspor	14	4	6	4	+2	18
11	Muğlaspor	14	4	6	4	-7	18
12	Ümraniyespor	13	4	5	4	+4	17
13	Sarıyer	14	4	5	5	-4	17
14	Vanspor FK	14	5	3	6	-6	16
15	Bandırmaspor	14	3	5	6	0	14
16	Pendikspor	14	3	5	6	-10	14
17	Manisa F.K.	14	3	4	7	-3	13
18	Sivasspor	14	2	7	5	-6	13
19	İstanbulspor	14	2	2	10	-21	8
20	Boluspor	13	1	1	11	-22	4

Team

Pts

+18

+22

-1

-7

-4

-6

-10

-3

-6

-21

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor?

On our numbers Keçiörengücü have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bursaspor 44%.

How many goals will there be in Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor?

Our predicted score is Keçiörengücü 1–1 Bursaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor?

Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Aktepe Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Keçiörengücü v Bursaspor: numbers & prediction