Mardin 1969 62%Draw 24%Manisa F.K. 14%Expected goals 1.97 – 0.85
62%
Betarazi pick
Mardin 1969 to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultMardin 1969 to win ✓62% · @1.62
Double chanceMardin 1969 or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.18
Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Manisa F.K. travel to face Mardin 1969 on Monday 26 October in the 1. Lig, with 21 Kasım Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Mardin 1969 are 4th, among the top four, on 25 points after 14 matches; Manisa F.K. are 17th (lower half) with 13. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Mardin 1969, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Esenler Erokspor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Manisa F.K., last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Muğlaspor, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mardin 1969, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Manisa F.K..
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mardin 1969 2.0 xG, Manisa F.K. 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mardin 1969 62%, draw 24%, Manisa F.K. 14%.
Lower-risk option: Mardin 1969 or draw (86%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mardin 1969 to win (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mardin 1969 1–0 Manisa F.K.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mardin 196962%fair 1.61 · @1.62
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.60
Manisa F.K.14%fair 7.29 · @5.00
2.82Expected goals
1.97Mardin 1969 xG
0.85Manisa F.K. xG
55%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Mardin 1969 2.0 – 0.8 Manisa F.K. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mardin 1969 to win✓
62%
1.61
1.62
Double chance
Mardin 1969 or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.73
Draw no bet
Mardin 1969 (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Mardin 1969 -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
First team to score
Mardin 1969 to score first
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Mardin 1969 ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mardin 1969 / FT Mardin 1969✓
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Mardin 1969 – last 6
LWWLLW
19 Oct
@ Esenler Erokspor
2–4
L
15 Oct
vs Fatih Karagümrük
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Bursaspor
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Kayserispor
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Iğdır FK
0–1
L
7 Sep
vs Bodrum FK
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Manisa F.K. – last 6
LDLLDL
19 Oct
vs Muğlaspor
3–4
L
15 Oct
vs Esenler Erokspor
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Kayserispor
2–3
L
20 Sep
vs İstanbulspor
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Fatih Karagümrük
1–1
D
7 Sep
vs Bursaspor
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mardin 1969 and Manisa F.K..
What is the prediction for Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K.?
Our pick is Mardin 1969 to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K.?
On our numbers Mardin 1969 have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Manisa F.K. 14%.
How many goals will there be in Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K.?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K.?
Our predicted score is Mardin 1969 1–0 Manisa F.K., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K.?
Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K. (1. Lig) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at 21 Kasım Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
