Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Mardin 1969 to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMardin 1969 to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceMardin 1969 or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.12
İstanbulspor vs Mardin 1969: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
İstanbulspor welcome Mardin 1969 for a 1. Lig fixture on Sunday 1 November (14:00 WAT). In the table, İstanbulspor are 19th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 14 matches; Mardin 1969 are 4th (among the top four) with 25. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
İstanbulspor, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ağrı 1970, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Mardin 1969, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Manisa F.K., at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mardin 1969, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for İstanbulspor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give İstanbulspor 0.9 xG, Mardin 1969 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – İstanbulspor 18%, draw 21%, Mardin 1969 60%.
Lower-risk option: Mardin 1969 or draw (82%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Mardin 1969 to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mardin 1969 or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: İstanbulspor 0–1 Mardin 1969. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
İstanbulspor18%fair 5.44 · @3.50
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.40
Mardin 196960%fair 1.66 · @1.95
2.79Expected goals
0.92İstanbulspor xG
1.87Mardin 1969 xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: İstanbulspor 0.9 – 1.9 Mardin 1969 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mardin 1969 to win✓
60%
1.66
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Mardin 1969 or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.73
Draw no bet
Mardin 1969 (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
İstanbulspor +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Mardin 1969 to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Mardin 1969 ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mardin 1969 / FT Mardin 1969✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
İstanbulspor – last 6
WLLLLW
27 Oct
@ Ağrı 1970
2–1
W
24 Oct
@ Muğlaspor
0–5
L
18 Oct
vs Antalyaspor
0–2
L
14 Oct
@ Batman Petrolspor
2–4
L
10 Oct
vs Esenler Erokspor
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Manisa F.K.
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mardin 1969 – last 6
WLWWLL
26 Oct
vs Manisa F.K.
2–1
W
19 Oct
@ Esenler Erokspor
2–4
L
15 Oct
vs Fatih Karagümrük
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Bursaspor
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Kayserispor
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Iğdır FK
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between İstanbulspor and Mardin 1969.
What is the prediction for İstanbulspor vs Mardin 1969?
Our pick is Mardin 1969 or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win İstanbulspor vs Mardin 1969?
On our numbers İstanbulspor have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mardin 1969 60%.
How many goals will there be in İstanbulspor vs Mardin 1969?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for İstanbulspor vs Mardin 1969?
Our predicted score is İstanbulspor 0–1 Mardin 1969, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is İstanbulspor vs Mardin 1969?
İstanbulspor vs Mardin 1969 (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
