Value bet: Esenler Erokspor to win @ 1.93 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultEsenler Erokspor to win ✓55% · @1.93
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Muğlaspor vs Esenler Erokspor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Muğlaspor welcome Esenler Erokspor for a 1. Lig fixture on Saturday 7 November (14:00 WAT). In the table, Muğlaspor are 11th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Esenler Erokspor are 10th (upper half) with 18. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Muğlaspor, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Kayserispor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Esenler Erokspor, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Keçiörengücü, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Muğlaspor 1.0 xG, Esenler Erokspor 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Muğlaspor 25%, draw 20%, Esenler Erokspor 55%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.66.
Price worth noting: Esenler Erokspor to win @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Muğlaspor 1–1 Esenler Erokspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Muğlaspor25%fair 3.95 · @3.32
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.34
Esenler Erokspor55%fair 1.82 · @1.93
2.73Expected goals
1.04Muğlaspor xG
1.70Esenler Erokspor xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Muğlaspor 1.0 – 1.7 Esenler Erokspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Esenler Erokspor to win✓
55%
1.82
1.93 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.66
Draw no bet
Esenler Erokspor (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Muğlaspor +1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
1.78
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.32
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
1.09
First team to score
Esenler Erokspor to score first✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Esenler Erokspor / FT Esenler Erokspor✓
32%
3.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.31
–
Recent results
Muğlaspor – last 6
LWWLDD
2 Nov
@ Kayserispor
0–6
L
24 Oct
vs İstanbulspor
5–0
W
19 Oct
@ Manisa F.K.
4–3
W
15 Oct
vs Bursaspor
0–3
L
11 Oct
@ Fatih Karagümrük
1–1
D
18 Sep
vs Iğdır FK
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Esenler Erokspor – last 6
WLWDWL
30 Oct
vs Keçiörengücü
3–2
W
25 Oct
@ Batman Petrolspor
2–3
L
19 Oct
vs Mardin 1969
4–2
W
15 Oct
@ Manisa F.K.
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ İstanbulspor
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Fatih Karagümrük
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Muğlaspor and Esenler Erokspor.
What is the prediction for Muğlaspor vs Esenler Erokspor?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Muğlaspor vs Esenler Erokspor?
On our numbers Muğlaspor have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Esenler Erokspor 55%.
How many goals will there be in Muğlaspor vs Esenler Erokspor?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Muğlaspor vs Esenler Erokspor?
Our predicted score is Muğlaspor 1–1 Esenler Erokspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Muğlaspor vs Esenler Erokspor?
Muğlaspor vs Esenler Erokspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
