Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultArgentina to win ✓38% · @2.94
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.22
England vs Argentina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Wednesday 15 July: England v Argentina in the World Cup, played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Current form
England, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Norway, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Argentina, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Switzerland, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give England 1.4 xG, Argentina 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 49% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – England 34%, draw 28%, Argentina 38%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.38, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: England 1–1 Argentina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
England34%fair 2.95 · @2.66
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @2.82
Argentina38%fair 2.60 · @2.94
2.96Expected goals
1.38England xG
1.58Argentina xG
61%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: England 1.4 – 1.6 Argentina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Argentina to win✓
38%
2.60
2.94 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Argentina (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
England +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.06
First team to score
Argentina to score first
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Argentina / FT Argentina✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.22
–
Recent results
England – last 6
DWWWDW
11 Jul
@ Norway
1–1
D
6 Jul
@ Mexico
3–2
W
1 Jul
vs Congo DR
2–1
W
27 Jun
@ Panama
2–0
W
23 Jun
vs Ghana
0–0
D
17 Jun
vs Croatia
4–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Argentina – last 6
DWDWWW
12 Jul
vs Switzerland
1–1
D
7 Jul
vs Egypt
3–2
W
3 Jul
vs Cape Verde Islands
1–1
D
28 Jun
@ Jordan
3–1
W
22 Jun
vs Austria
2–0
W
17 Jun
vs Algeria
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between England and Argentina.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win England vs Argentina?
On our numbers England have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Argentina 38%.
How many goals will there be in England vs Argentina?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for England vs Argentina?
Our predicted score is England 1–1 Argentina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is England vs Argentina?
England vs Argentina (World Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 15 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
