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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Estelí v UNAN Managua: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · Nicaragua · Estadio Independencia
1–1
FT
Real Estelí 67%Draw 22%UNAN Managua 11% Expected goals 1.81 – 0.72
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Estelí to win ✗67% · @1.17
Double chanceReal Estelí or draw ✓89% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.98

Real Estelí vs UNAN Managua: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 18 July the Primera Division brings Real Estelí against UNAN Managua at Estadio Independencia. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Real Estelí are 3rd, among the top four, on 31 points after 16 matches; UNAN Managua are 4th (among the top four) with 25.

Current form

Real Estelí, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Xilotepelt, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

UNAN Managua, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Matiguás, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Real Estelí, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for UNAN Managua.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Mar 2026) it ended UNAN Managua 0–3 Real Estelí.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Estelí 1.8 xG, UNAN Managua 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 44%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Estelí 67%, draw 22%, UNAN Managua 11%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Estelí 1–0 UNAN Managua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Estelí67%fair 1.49 · @1.17
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @5.25
UNAN Managua11%fair 8.71 · @20.00
2.54Expected goals
1.81Real Estelí xG
0.72UNAN Managua xG
44%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%

From our goals model: Real Estelí 1.8 – 0.7 UNAN Managua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Estelí to win ✗67%1.491.17
Double chanceReal Estelí or draw ✓89%1.131.01
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗56%1.77–
Draw no betReal Estelí (draw no bet)85%1.17–
Asian handicapReal Estelí -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.87–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scoreReal Estelí to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultReal Estelí ahead at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Estelí / FT Real Estelí ✗40%2.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%6.98–

Recent results

Real Estelí – last 6

WWDWLL
12 Julvs Xilotepelt2–0W
7 Mayvs Jalapa3–1W
26 Aprvs Matagalpa0–0D
20 Apr@ H&H Export3–2W
16 Aprvs Walter Ferretti2–4L
12 Apr@ Diriangén0–1L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

UNAN Managua – last 6

WDLLLW
24 Mayvs Matiguás2–1W
19 Apr@ Managua1–1D
15 Aprvs Rancho Santana0–2L
13 Apr@ Real Madriz0–1L
8 Aprvs Jalapa2–4L
8 Marvs Matagalpa2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Mar 2026UNAN Managua v Real Estelí0–3
Real Estelí vs UNAN Managua head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Managua161321+3441
2Diriangén161132+1636
3Real Estelí16943+1531
4UNAN Managua16745-225
5Walter Ferretti16637+621
6H&H Export16628-1220
7San Marcos16448-716
8Jalapa16439-615
9Rancho Santana162410-1710
10Matagalpa163112-2710

More Primera Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Estelí vs UNAN Managua?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance.

Who will win Real Estelí vs UNAN Managua?

On our numbers Real Estelí have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and UNAN Managua 11%.

How many goals will there be in Real Estelí vs UNAN Managua?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Estelí vs UNAN Managua?

Our predicted score is Real Estelí 1–0 UNAN Managua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Real Estelí vs UNAN Managua?

Real Estelí vs UNAN Managua (Primera Division) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Independencia.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.