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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Managua v Jalapa: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · Nicaragua

Managua

WWWLW
3–0
FT

Jalapa

WWLLW
Managua 59%Draw 22%Jalapa 19% Expected goals 1.83 – 0.85
81%
Betarazi pick

Managua or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultManagua to win ✓59% · @1.77
Double chanceManagua or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25

Managua vs Jalapa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Jalapa travel to face Managua on Sunday 26 July in the Primera Division – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Managua are 1st, leading the league, on 41 points after 16 matches; Jalapa are 8th (in the drop zone) with 15. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Managua, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rancho Santana, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Jalapa, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Walter Ferretti, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Feb 2026) it ended Managua 1–0 Jalapa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Managua 1.8 xG, Jalapa 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Managua 59%, draw 22%, Jalapa 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Managua or draw (81%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Managua or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Managua 1–0 Jalapa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Managua59%fair 1.68 · @1.77
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.70
Jalapa19%fair 5.39 · @3.75
2.68Expected goals
1.83Managua xG
0.85Jalapa xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%

From our goals model: Managua 1.8 – 0.8 Jalapa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultManagua to win ✓59%1.681.77 ▲
Double chanceManagua or draw ✓81%1.231.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.791.67
Draw no betManagua (draw no bet) ✓76%1.31–
Asian handicapManagua -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.931.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.431.38
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreManagua to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultManagua ahead at half-time ✓43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Managua / FT Managua ✓38%2.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.25–

Recent results

Managua – last 6

WWWLWD
19 Julvs Rancho Santana2–1W
12 Julvs Rancho Santana2–0W
6 Jul@ Rancho Santana3–2W
30 Aprvs Matagalpa2–4L
26 Aprvs Diriangén4–1W
19 Aprvs UNAN Managua1–1D
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Jalapa – last 6

WWLLWW
18 Julvs Walter Ferretti1–0W
12 Julvs Matagalpa3–2W
5 Jul@ Matagalpa1–3L
7 May@ Real Estelí1–3L
29 Aprvs Walter Ferretti3–0W
16 Aprvs Real Madriz2–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Feb 2026Managua v Jalapa1–0
Managua vs Jalapa head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Managua161321+3441
2Diriangén161132+1636
3Real Estelí16943+1531
4UNAN Managua16745-225
5Walter Ferretti16637+621
6H&H Export16628-1220
7San Marcos16448-716
8Jalapa16439-615
9Rancho Santana162410-1710
10Matagalpa163112-2710

More Primera Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Managua vs Jalapa?

Our pick is Managua or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Managua vs Jalapa?

On our numbers Managua have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Jalapa 19%.

How many goals will there be in Managua vs Jalapa?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Managua vs Jalapa?

Our predicted score is Managua 1–0 Jalapa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Managua vs Jalapa?

Managua vs Jalapa (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.