Value bet: Walter Ferretti to win @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultWalter Ferretti to win ✓52% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Walter Ferretti vs Matagalpa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Monday 3 August: Walter Ferretti v Matagalpa in the Primera Division. In the table, Walter Ferretti are 5th, upper half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Matagalpa are 10th (in the drop zone) with 10.
Current form
Walter Ferretti, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Jalapa, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Matagalpa, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Real Estelí, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Matagalpa 4–0 Walter Ferretti. The last 2 head-to-heads: Walter Ferretti 0 wins, Matagalpa 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Walter Ferretti 2.0 xG, Matagalpa 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Walter Ferretti 52%, draw 21%, Matagalpa 27%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Walter Ferretti to win @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Walter Ferretti 1–1 Matagalpa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Walter Ferretti52%fair 1.91 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.40
Matagalpa27%fair 3.76 · @3.10
3.05Expected goals
1.99Walter Ferretti xG
1.06Matagalpa xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Walter Ferretti 2.0 – 1.1 Matagalpa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Walter Ferretti vs Matagalpa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Walter Ferretti vs Matagalpa?
On our numbers Walter Ferretti have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Matagalpa 27%.
How many goals will there be in Walter Ferretti vs Matagalpa?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Walter Ferretti vs Matagalpa?
Our predicted score is Walter Ferretti 1–1 Matagalpa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Walter Ferretti vs Matagalpa?
Walter Ferretti vs Matagalpa (Primera Division) kicks off on Monday 3 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
