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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Estelí v Walter Ferretti: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · Nicaragua · Estadio Independencia
4–1
FT
Real Estelí 55%Draw 24%Walter Ferretti 21% Expected goals 1.82 – 1.10
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Estelí to win ✓55% · @1.75
Double chanceReal Estelí or draw ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18

Real Estelí vs Walter Ferretti: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 8 August the Primera Division brings Real Estelí against Walter Ferretti at Estadio Independencia. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Real Estelí are 3rd, among the top four, on 31 points after 16 matches; Walter Ferretti are 5th (upper half) with 21.

Current form

Real Estelí, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Antigua GFC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Walter Ferretti, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Matagalpa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Real Estelí, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Walter Ferretti.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Apr 2026) it ended Real Estelí 2–4 Walter Ferretti.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Estelí 1.8 xG, Walter Ferretti 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Estelí 55%, draw 24%, Walter Ferretti 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Real Estelí or draw (79%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Estelí 1–1 Walter Ferretti. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Estelí55%fair 1.81 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.55
Walter Ferretti21%fair 4.83 · @4.10
2.92Expected goals
1.82Real Estelí xG
1.10Walter Ferretti xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
1–26%
3–16%

From our goals model: Real Estelí 1.8 – 1.1 Walter Ferretti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Estelí to win ✓55%1.811.75
Double chanceReal Estelí or draw ✓79%1.261.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.741.70
Draw no betReal Estelí (draw no bet) ✓73%1.37–
Asian handicapWalter Ferretti +1 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.311.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.861.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.481.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.21–
First team to scoreReal Estelí to score first59%1.70–
Half-time resultReal Estelí ahead at half-time ✗40%2.51–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Estelí / FT Real Estelí ✗33%2.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.18–

Recent results

Real Estelí – last 6

WWWDWW
5 Aug@ Antigua GFC2–0W
30 Jul@ Jalapa1–0W
26 Julvs Matagalpa2–0W
18 Julvs UNAN Managua1–1D
12 Julvs Xilotepelt2–0W
7 Mayvs Jalapa3–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Walter Ferretti – last 6

WLLLWD
3 Augvs Matagalpa4–1W
18 Jul@ Jalapa0–1L
29 Apr@ Jalapa0–3L
19 Apr@ Matagalpa0–4L
16 Apr@ Real Estelí4–2W
13 Apr@ Managua1–1D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Apr 2026Real Estelí v Walter Ferretti2–4
Real Estelí vs Walter Ferretti head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Managua161321+3441
2Diriangén161132+1636
3Real Estelí16943+1531
4UNAN Managua16745-225
5Walter Ferretti16637+621
6H&H Export16628-1220
7San Marcos16448-716
8Jalapa16439-615
9Rancho Santana162410-1710
10Matagalpa163112-2710

More Primera Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Estelí vs Walter Ferretti?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Real Estelí vs Walter Ferretti?

On our numbers Real Estelí have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Walter Ferretti 21%.

How many goals will there be in Real Estelí vs Walter Ferretti?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Estelí vs Walter Ferretti?

Our predicted score is Real Estelí 1–1 Walter Ferretti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Real Estelí vs Walter Ferretti?

Real Estelí vs Walter Ferretti (Primera Division) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Independencia.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.