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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Matagalpa v Managua: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · Nicaragua
0–3
FT

Managua

WWWWW
Matagalpa 14%Draw 21%Managua 65% Expected goals 0.98 – 2.40
81%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultManagua to win ✓65% · @1.57
Double chanceManagua or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.41

Matagalpa vs Managua: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Matagalpa welcome Managua for a Primera Division fixture on Monday 10 August (02:00 WAT). In the table, Matagalpa are 10th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 16 matches; Managua are 1st (leading the league) with 41. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Matagalpa, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Walter Ferretti, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Managua, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over San Marcos, away. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.

Momentum favours Managua, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.5 for Matagalpa.

Head to head

When they last met (30 Apr 2026) it ended Managua 2–4 Matagalpa. The last 3 head-to-heads: Matagalpa 1 win, Managua 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.7 goals and saw GG land 3 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Matagalpa 1.0 xG, Managua 2.4 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Matagalpa 14%, draw 21%, Managua 65%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Matagalpa 0–2 Managua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Matagalpa14%fair 6.99 · @5.00
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.80
Managua65%fair 1.54 · @1.57
3.38Expected goals
0.98Matagalpa xG
2.40Managua xG
62%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–210%
1–210%
0–18%
1–18%
0–38%
1–38%

From our goals model: Matagalpa 1.0 – 2.4 Managua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultManagua to win ✓65%1.541.57
Double chanceManagua or draw ✓86%1.171.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.621.67
Draw no betManagua (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapManagua -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.241.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.651.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.641.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
First team to scoreManagua to score first ✓69%1.46–
Half-time resultManagua ahead at half-time ✓51%1.97–
Half-time / full-timeHT Managua / FT Managua ✓46%2.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.41–

Recent results

Matagalpa – last 6

LLLLWL
3 Aug@ Walter Ferretti1–4L
26 Jul@ Real Estelí0–2L
19 Julvs H&H Export0–3L
12 Jul@ Jalapa2–3L
5 Julvs Jalapa3–1W
7 May@ Diriangén1–3L
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Managua – last 6

WWWWWL
1 Aug@ San Marcos4–1W
26 Julvs Jalapa3–0W
19 Julvs Rancho Santana2–1W
12 Julvs Rancho Santana2–0W
6 Jul@ Rancho Santana3–2W
30 Aprvs Matagalpa2–4L
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 Apr 2026Managua v Matagalpa2–4
16 Apr 2026Matagalpa v Managua1–2
16 Feb 2026Managua v Matagalpa1–1
Matagalpa vs Managua head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Managua161321+3441
2Diriangén161132+1636
3Real Estelí16943+1531
4UNAN Managua16745-225
5Walter Ferretti16637+621
6H&H Export16628-1220
7San Marcos16448-716
8Jalapa16439-615
9Rancho Santana162410-1710
10Matagalpa163112-2710

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Matagalpa vs Managua?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Matagalpa vs Managua?

On our numbers Matagalpa have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Managua 65%.

How many goals will there be in Matagalpa vs Managua?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Matagalpa vs Managua?

Our predicted score is Matagalpa 0–2 Managua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Matagalpa vs Managua?

Matagalpa vs Managua (Primera Division) kicks off on Monday 10 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.