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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rancho Santana v Walter Ferretti: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · Nicaragua
1–3
FT
Rancho Santana 17%Draw 22%Walter Ferretti 60% Expected goals 0.96 – 1.96
83%
Betarazi pick

Walter Ferretti or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Walter Ferretti to win @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultWalter Ferretti to win ✓60% · @1.90
Double chanceWalter Ferretti or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Rancho Santana vs Walter Ferretti: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rancho Santana welcome Walter Ferretti for a Primera Division fixture on Sunday 16 August (00:00 WAT). In the table, Rancho Santana are 9th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 16 matches; Walter Ferretti are 5th (upper half) with 21.

Current form

Rancho Santana, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Diriangén, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Walter Ferretti, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Real Estelí, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 4 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Walter Ferretti, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.0 for Rancho Santana.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Apr 2026) it ended Walter Ferretti 0–0 Rancho Santana.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rancho Santana 1.0 xG, Walter Ferretti 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rancho Santana 17%, draw 22%, Walter Ferretti 60%.
  • Lower-risk option: Walter Ferretti or draw (83%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.60.
  • Price worth noting: Walter Ferretti to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Walter Ferretti or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rancho Santana 0–1 Walter Ferretti. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rancho Santana17%fair 5.72 · @3.60
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.45
Walter Ferretti60%fair 1.66 · @1.90
2.92Expected goals
0.96Rancho Santana xG
1.96Walter Ferretti xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–111%
0–210%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%

From our goals model: Rancho Santana 1.0 – 2.0 Walter Ferretti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWalter Ferretti to win ✓60%1.661.90 ▲
Double chanceWalter Ferretti or draw ✓83%1.211.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.741.60
Draw no betWalter Ferretti (draw no bet) ✓77%1.29–
Asian handicapWalter Ferretti -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.501.38
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreWalter Ferretti to score first ✓63%1.58–
Half-time resultWalter Ferretti ahead at half-time ✓44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Walter Ferretti / FT Walter Ferretti ✓38%2.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.05–

Recent results

Rancho Santana – last 6

LLLLLL
9 Aug@ Diriangén1–2L
2 Augvs H&H Export0–1L
28 Jul@ UNAN Managua0–2L
19 Jul@ Managua1–2L
12 Jul@ Managua0–2L
6 Julvs Managua2–3L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Walter Ferretti – last 6

LWLLLW
8 Aug@ Real Estelí1–4L
3 Augvs Matagalpa4–1W
18 Jul@ Jalapa0–1L
29 Apr@ Jalapa0–3L
19 Apr@ Matagalpa0–4L
16 Apr@ Real Estelí4–2W
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Apr 2026Walter Ferretti v Rancho Santana0–0
Rancho Santana vs Walter Ferretti head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Managua161321+3441
2Diriangén161132+1636
3Real Estelí16943+1531
4UNAN Managua16745-225
5Walter Ferretti16637+621
6H&H Export16628-1220
7San Marcos16448-716
8Jalapa16439-615
9Rancho Santana162410-1710
10Matagalpa163112-2710

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rancho Santana vs Walter Ferretti?

Our pick is Walter Ferretti or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Rancho Santana vs Walter Ferretti?

On our numbers Rancho Santana have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Walter Ferretti 60%.

How many goals will there be in Rancho Santana vs Walter Ferretti?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rancho Santana vs Walter Ferretti?

Our predicted score is Rancho Santana 0–1 Walter Ferretti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Rancho Santana vs Walter Ferretti?

Rancho Santana vs Walter Ferretti (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.