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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

UNAN Managua v Jalapa: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · Nicaragua
2–1
FT

Jalapa

LLLWW
UNAN Managua 46%Draw 22%Jalapa 33% Expected goals 1.21 – 0.95
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds
U2.5

Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.90 – our chance 56% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultUNAN Managua to win ✓46% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.45

UNAN Managua vs Jalapa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Jalapa travel to face UNAN Managua on Monday 17 August in the Primera Division – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, UNAN Managua are 4th, among the top four, on 25 points after 16 matches; Jalapa are 8th (in the drop zone) with 15.

Current form

UNAN Managua, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over San Marcos, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Jalapa, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to H&H Export, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours UNAN Managua, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Jalapa.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Apr 2026) it ended UNAN Managua 2–4 Jalapa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give UNAN Managua 1.2 xG, Jalapa 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – UNAN Managua 46%, draw 22%, Jalapa 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.
  • Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: UNAN Managua 1–0 Jalapa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

UNAN Managua46%fair 2.19 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.30
Jalapa33%fair 3.07 · @2.95
2.17Expected goals
1.21UNAN Managua xG
0.95Jalapa xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: UNAN Managua 1.2 – 1.0 Jalapa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUNAN Managua to win ✓46%2.192.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.751.65
Draw no betUNAN Managua (draw no bet) ✓58%1.72–
Asian handicapJalapa +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.461.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.90 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreUNAN Managua to score first50%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT UNAN Managua / FT UNAN Managua ✗24%4.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%12.45–

Recent results

UNAN Managua – last 6

WDWDWD
10 Aug@ San Marcos1–0W
1 Aug@ Diriangén1–1D
28 Julvs Rancho Santana2–0W
18 Jul@ Real Estelí1–1D
24 Mayvs Matiguás2–1W
19 Apr@ Managua1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Jalapa – last 6

LLLWWL
8 Augvs H&H Export0–1L
30 Julvs Real Estelí0–1L
26 Jul@ Managua0–3L
18 Julvs Walter Ferretti1–0W
12 Julvs Matagalpa3–2W
5 Jul@ Matagalpa1–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Apr 2026UNAN Managua v Jalapa2–4
UNAN Managua vs Jalapa head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Managua161321+3441
2Diriangén161132+1636
3Real Estelí16943+1531
4UNAN Managua16745-225
5Walter Ferretti16637+621
6H&H Export16628-1220
7San Marcos16448-716
8Jalapa16439-615
9Rancho Santana162410-1710
10Matagalpa163112-2710

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for UNAN Managua vs Jalapa?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win UNAN Managua vs Jalapa?

On our numbers UNAN Managua have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Jalapa 33%.

How many goals will there be in UNAN Managua vs Jalapa?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for UNAN Managua vs Jalapa?

Our predicted score is UNAN Managua 1–0 Jalapa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is UNAN Managua vs Jalapa?

UNAN Managua vs Jalapa (Primera Division) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.