Value bet: Eltersdorf to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEltersdorf to win ✗61% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗88% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.28
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.62
FC Schweinfurt 05 vs Eltersdorf: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Friday 9 October: FC Schweinfurt 05 v Eltersdorf in the Regionalliga Bayern, played at Sachs-Stadion. In the table, FC Schweinfurt 05 are 14th, lower half, on 20 points after 17 matches; Eltersdorf are 15th (lower half) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FC Schweinfurt 05, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with SpVgg Unterhaching, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Eltersdorf, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Buchbach, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Eltersdorf, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for FC Schweinfurt 05.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Schweinfurt 05 1.3 xG, Eltersdorf 2.2 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Schweinfurt 05 26%, draw 12%, Eltersdorf 61%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.28.
Price worth noting: Eltersdorf to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Schweinfurt 05 1–2 Eltersdorf. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Schweinfurt 0526%fair 3.81 · @2.87
Draw12%fair 8.08 · @4.21
Eltersdorf61%fair 1.63 · @1.91
3.54Expected goals
1.33FC Schweinfurt 05 xG
2.22Eltersdorf xG
70%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–19%
0–27%
1–37%
0–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: FC Schweinfurt 05 1.3 – 2.2 Eltersdorf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Eltersdorf to win✗
61%
1.63
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
88%
1.14
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.43
1.28
Draw no bet
Eltersdorf (draw no bet)
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
FC Schweinfurt 05 +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.26
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.91
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.35
First team to score
Eltersdorf to score first
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Eltersdorf ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Eltersdorf / FT Eltersdorf✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.62
–
Recent results
FC Schweinfurt 05 – last 6
DLLLLW
2 Oct
@ SpVgg Unterhaching
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ Buchbach
1–3
L
15 Sep
vs Illertissen
0–3
L
12 Sep
@ Eichstätt
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Nürnberg II
2–5
L
28 Aug
vs Greuther Fürth II
5–2
W
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Eltersdorf – last 6
WLLLWD
2 Oct
@ Buchbach
2–0
W
25 Sep
vs Bayreuth
2–4
L
19 Sep
@ Ansbach
2–3
L
15 Sep
vs Eichstätt
0–2
L
4 Sep
vs Illertissen
3–0
W
29 Aug
@ Augsburg II
3–3
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Schweinfurt 05 and Eltersdorf.
What is the prediction for FC Schweinfurt 05 vs Eltersdorf?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win FC Schweinfurt 05 vs Eltersdorf?
On our numbers FC Schweinfurt 05 have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Eltersdorf 61%.
How many goals will there be in FC Schweinfurt 05 vs Eltersdorf?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Schweinfurt 05 vs Eltersdorf?
Our predicted score is FC Schweinfurt 05 1–2 Eltersdorf, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is FC Schweinfurt 05 vs Eltersdorf?
FC Schweinfurt 05 vs Eltersdorf (Regionalliga Bayern) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Sachs-Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
