Value bet: St. Pauli II to win @ 2.83 – our chance 41% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSt. Pauli II to win ✗41% · @2.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗70% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗75% · @1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.54
St. Pauli II vs Kickers Emden: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 26 September the Regionalliga Nord brings St. Pauli II against Kickers Emden. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, St. Pauli II are 17th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 16 matches; Kickers Emden are 8th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
St. Pauli II, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to SV DrochtersenAssel, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Kickers Emden, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Schöningen, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Kickers Emden, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for St. Pauli II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give St. Pauli II 2.2 xG, Kickers Emden 2.1 xG – a total near 4.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 75% and GG at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – St. Pauli II 41%, draw 19%, Kickers Emden 40%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.30.
Price worth noting: St. Pauli II to win @2.83 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: St. Pauli II 2–2 Kickers Emden. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
St. Pauli II41%fair 2.43 · @2.83
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @3.86
Kickers Emden40%fair 2.52 · @1.96
4.26Expected goals
2.15St. Pauli II xG
2.11Kickers Emden xG
70%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–27%
2–17%
1–27%
1–16%
3–25%
2–35%
From our goals model: St. Pauli II 2.2 – 2.1 Kickers Emden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St. Pauli II to win✗
41%
2.43
2.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
70%
1.44
1.30
Draw no bet
St. Pauli II (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Kickers Emden +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
1.04
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.29
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.83
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.32
First team to score
St. Pauli II to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
St. Pauli II ahead at half-time✗
34%
2.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St. Pauli II / FT St. Pauli II✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.54
–
Recent results
St. Pauli II – last 6
LWWLDL
19 Sep
@ SV DrochtersenAssel
0–1
L
16 Sep
@ Hamburger SV II
3–0
W
13 Sep
vs Eintracht Norderstedt
5–0
W
4 Sep
@ Hannover 96 II
2–3
L
30 Aug
vs Phönix Lübeck
2–2
D
26 Aug
@ Schöningen
2–3
L
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Kickers Emden – last 6
WLWWDD
19 Sep
vs Schöningen
5–0
W
15 Sep
@ SV DrochtersenAssel
2–8
L
12 Sep
vs SSV Jeddeloh
4–1
W
6 Sep
@ Bremer SV
3–2
W
29 Aug
vs Hannover 96 II
1–1
D
26 Aug
@ Atlas Delmenhorst
3–3
D
3.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St. Pauli II and Kickers Emden.
What is the prediction for St. Pauli II vs Kickers Emden?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win St. Pauli II vs Kickers Emden?
On our numbers St. Pauli II have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Kickers Emden 40%.
How many goals will there be in St. Pauli II vs Kickers Emden?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Pauli II vs Kickers Emden?
Our predicted score is St. Pauli II 2–2 Kickers Emden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is St. Pauli II vs Kickers Emden?
St. Pauli II vs Kickers Emden (Regionalliga Nord) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
