St. Pauli II 61%Draw 24%HSC Hannover 15%Expected goals 2.42 – 1.23
85%
Betarazi pick
St. Pauli II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: St. Pauli II to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSt. Pauli II to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceSt. Pauli II or draw ✗85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.68
St. Pauli II vs HSC Hannover: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
St. Pauli II welcome HSC Hannover for a Regionalliga Nord fixture on Sunday 11 October (13:00 WAT). In the table, St. Pauli II are 17th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 16 matches; HSC Hannover are 13th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
St. Pauli II, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Kickers Emden, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
HSC Hannover, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Schöningen, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended St. Pauli II 3–2 HSC Hannover.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give St. Pauli II 2.4 xG, HSC Hannover 1.2 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – St. Pauli II 61%, draw 24%, HSC Hannover 15%.
Lower-risk option: St. Pauli II or draw (85%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: St. Pauli II to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was St. Pauli II or draw (85%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: St. Pauli II 2–1 HSC Hannover. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
St. Pauli II61%fair 1.65 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.60
HSC Hannover15%fair 6.69 · @3.60
3.65Expected goals
2.42St. Pauli II xG
1.23HSC Hannover xG
68%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
2–08%
3–18%
1–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: St. Pauli II 2.4 – 1.2 HSC Hannover expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for St. Pauli II vs HSC Hannover?
Our pick is St. Pauli II or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win St. Pauli II vs HSC Hannover?
On our numbers St. Pauli II have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and HSC Hannover 15%.
How many goals will there be in St. Pauli II vs HSC Hannover?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Pauli II vs HSC Hannover?
Our predicted score is St. Pauli II 2–1 HSC Hannover, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is St. Pauli II vs HSC Hannover?
St. Pauli II vs HSC Hannover (Regionalliga Nord) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
