St. Pauli II v Weiche Flensburg Prediction & Expected Goals (25 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultWeiche Flensburg to win ✗67% · @1.60

Double chanceWeiche Flensburg or draw ✗87% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.40

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.75

St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 25 October the Regionalliga Nord brings St. Pauli II against Weiche Flensburg. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, St. Pauli II are 17th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 16 matches; Weiche Flensburg are 2nd (among the top four) with 35. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

St. Pauli II, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to VfB Lübeck, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Weiche Flensburg, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over SV DrochtersenAssel, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Weiche Flensburg, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for St. Pauli II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give St. Pauli II 1.3 xG, Weiche Flensburg 2.8 xG – a total near 4.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 77% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – St. Pauli II 13%, draw 21%, Weiche Flensburg 67%.
Lower-risk option: Weiche Flensburg or draw (87%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Weiche Flensburg to win @1.60 – the bookmaker implies 63%, our ratings say 67%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Weiche Flensburg or draw (87%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: St. Pauli II 1–2 Weiche Flensburg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

St. Pauli II13%fair 7.74 · @4.20

Draw21%fair 4.86 · @4.00

Weiche Flensburg67%fair 1.50 · @1.60

4.07Expected goals

1.28St. Pauli II xG

2.79Weiche Flensburg xG

67%Both score

77%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%

1–38%

0–27%

0–36%

1–16%

1–46%

From our goals model: St. Pauli II 1.3 – 2.8 Weiche Flensburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Weiche Flensburg to win ✗	67%	1.50	1.60 ▲
Double chance	Weiche Flensburg or draw ✗	87%	1.15	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	67%	1.49	1.40
Draw no bet	Weiche Flensburg (draw no bet) ✗	84%	1.19	–
Asian handicap	Weiche Flensburg -1 (Asian handicap) ✗	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	91%	1.09	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✗	58%	1.72	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	62%	1.63	–
First team to score	Weiche Flensburg to score first ✗	67%	1.49	–
Half-time result	Weiche Flensburg ahead at half-time ✗	52%	1.91	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Weiche Flensburg / FT Weiche Flensburg ✗	47%	2.14	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.75	–

St. Pauli II – last 6

LLLLWW

17 Oct	@ VfB Lübeck	1–4	L
11 Oct	vs HSC Hannover	3–4	L
26 Sep	vs Kickers Emden	0–2	L
19 Sep	@ SV DrochtersenAssel	0–1	L
16 Sep	@ Hamburger SV II	3–0	W
13 Sep	vs Eintracht Norderstedt	5–0	W

2.0Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Weiche Flensburg – last 6

WWWWLL

16 Oct	vs SV DrochtersenAssel	3–0	W
11 Oct	@ Todesfelde	4–0	W
3 Oct	vs VfB Oldenburg	3–2	W
27 Sep	@ Bremer SV	3–0	W
19 Sep	vs Phönix Lübeck	1–2	L
16 Sep	@ Schöningen	1–2	L

2.5Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hannover 96 II	17	11	3	3	+14	36
2	Weiche Flensburg	17	11	2	4	+25	35
3	VfB Oldenburg	16	11	2	3	+23	35
4	Phönix Lübeck	16	10	4	2	+28	34
5	SV Drochtersen/Assel	17	10	3	4	+26	33
6	Schöningen	16	8	3	5	-3	27
7	Atlas Delmenhorst	16	5	6	5	-3	21
8	Kickers Emden	17	5	6	6	-5	21
9	VfB Lübeck	16	4	7	5	-6	19
10	Hamburger SV II	17	6	1	10	-8	19
11	Werder Bremen II	17	5	3	9	-5	18
12	SSV Jeddeloh	17	5	3	9	-10	18
13	HSC Hannover	17	4	6	7	-13	18
14	Eimsbütteler TV	16	4	5	7	-14	17
15	Todesfelde	17	4	4	9	-23	16
16	Bremer SV	16	4	3	9	-13	15
17	St. Pauli II	16	4	2	10	-3	14
18	Eintracht Norderstedt	15	3	5	7	-10	14

Team

Pts

+14

+25

+23

+28

+26

-3

-3

-5

-6

-8

-5

-10

-13

-14

-23

-13

-3

Eintracht Norderstedt

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg?

Our pick is Weiche Flensburg or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg?

On our numbers St. Pauli II have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Weiche Flensburg 67%.

How many goals will there be in St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg?

We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg?

Our predicted score is St. Pauli II 1–2 Weiche Flensburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.

When is St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg?

St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg (Regionalliga Nord) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

St. Pauli II v Weiche Flensburg: numbers & prediction