Value bet: FSV Zwickau to win @ 2.25 – our chance 49% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFSV Zwickau to win ✗49% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.43
BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:30 WAT, Saturday 12 September: BSG Chemie Leipzig v FSV Zwickau in the Regionalliga Nordost. In the table, BSG Chemie Leipzig are 14th, lower half, on 14 points after 16 matches; FSV Zwickau are 11th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
BSG Chemie Leipzig, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Altglienicke, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
FSV Zwickau, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over SV Babelsberg 03, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FSV Zwickau, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for BSG Chemie Leipzig.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give BSG Chemie Leipzig 1.0 xG, FSV Zwickau 1.4 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – BSG Chemie Leipzig 30%, draw 22%, FSV Zwickau 49%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: FSV Zwickau to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: BSG Chemie Leipzig 0–1 FSV Zwickau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
BSG Chemie Leipzig30%fair 3.39 · @2.75
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
FSV Zwickau49%fair 2.05 · @2.25
2.34Expected goals
0.97BSG Chemie Leipzig xG
1.37FSV Zwickau xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–09%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: BSG Chemie Leipzig 1.0 – 1.4 FSV Zwickau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FSV Zwickau to win✗
49%
2.05
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.73
Draw no bet
FSV Zwickau (draw no bet)
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
BSG Chemie Leipzig +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.11
First team to score
FSV Zwickau to score first✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FSV Zwickau / FT FSV Zwickau✗
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.43
–
Recent results
BSG Chemie Leipzig – last 6
DLLDLL
28 Aug
@ Altglienicke
1–1
D
25 Aug
@ Magdeburg II
0–1
L
14 Aug
vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ RSV Eintracht
1–1
D
5 Aug
vs Hallescher FC
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ BFC Dynamo
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
FSV Zwickau – last 6
WWWDLL
29 Aug
vs SV Babelsberg 03
1–0
W
26 Aug
@ RSV Eintracht
2–1
W
14 Aug
vs Luckenwalde
2–1
W
9 Aug
@ BFC Dynamo
0–0
D
4 Aug
@ Chemnitzer FC
1–3
L
1 Aug
vs Greifswalder FC
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between BSG Chemie Leipzig and FSV Zwickau.
What is the prediction for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau?
On our numbers BSG Chemie Leipzig have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FSV Zwickau 49%.
How many goals will there be in BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau?
Our predicted score is BSG Chemie Leipzig 0–1 FSV Zwickau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau?
BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
