Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.52 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.52Odds
Picks by market
ResultFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt to win ✓42% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.07
Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Lokomotive Leipzig v FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt in the Regionalliga Nordost. In the table, Lokomotive Leipzig are 9th, upper half, on 24 points after 16 matches; FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt are 1st (leading the league) with 37. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lokomotive Leipzig, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FC Carl Zeiss Jena, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Erzgebirge Aue, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Lokomotive Leipzig.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Apr 2026) it ended Lokomotive Leipzig 2–1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotive Leipzig 1.7 xG, FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 1.8 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotive Leipzig 37%, draw 21%, FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 42%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.52). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotive Leipzig 1–2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotive Leipzig37%fair 2.67 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.52
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt42%fair 2.39 · @2.28
3.53Expected goals
1.71Lokomotive Leipzig xG
1.82FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–35%
From our goals model: Lokomotive Leipzig 1.7 – 1.8 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.52.
Who will win Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
On our numbers Lokomotive Leipzig have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 42%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
Our predicted score is Lokomotive Leipzig 1–2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
