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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Altglienicke v Luckenwalde: numbers & prediction

3–1
FT
Altglienicke 67%Draw 22%Luckenwalde 11% Expected goals 2.17 – 0.79
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.21Odds

Picks by market

ResultAltglienicke to win ✓67% · @1.39
Double chanceAltglienicke or draw ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.36

Altglienicke vs Luckenwalde: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Friday 23 October: Altglienicke v Luckenwalde in the Regionalliga Nordost. In the table, Altglienicke are 5th, upper half, on 30 points after 16 matches; Luckenwalde are 18th (in the drop zone) with 8. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Altglienicke, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over BFC Preussen, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Luckenwalde, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Carl Zeiss Jena, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Altglienicke, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Luckenwalde.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Mar 2026) it ended Altglienicke 0–2 Luckenwalde.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Altglienicke 2.2 xG, Luckenwalde 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 54% and GG at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Altglienicke 67%, draw 22%, Luckenwalde 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.94.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Altglienicke 2–0 Luckenwalde. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Altglienicke67%fair 1.49 · @1.39
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @4.21
Luckenwalde11%fair 9.37 · @6.45
2.96Expected goals
2.17Altglienicke xG
0.79Luckenwalde xG
55%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%

From our goals model: Altglienicke 2.2 – 0.8 Luckenwalde expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAltglienicke to win ✓67%1.491.39
Double chanceAltglienicke or draw ✓89%1.12–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.94 ▲
Draw no betAltglienicke (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapAltglienicke -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.291.21
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.78
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.471.29
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
First team to scoreAltglienicke to score first ✓69%1.44–
Half-time resultAltglienicke ahead at half-time ✓50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Altglienicke / FT Altglienicke ✓45%2.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.36–

Recent results

Altglienicke – last 6

WLWWWL
17 Oct@ BFC Preussen3–1W
9 Octvs BFC Dynamo0–1L
25 Sep@ Magdeburg II1–0W
19 Sepvs RSV Eintracht3–1W
15 Sep@ FSV Zwickau2–1W
11 Sepvs Chemnitzer FC0–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Luckenwalde – last 6

LWWLLL
17 Octvs FC Carl Zeiss Jena1–2L
9 Oct@ BSG Chemie Leipzig3–1W
2 Octvs Magdeburg II3–1W
27 Sepvs SV Babelsberg 032–3L
20 Sep@ Greifswalder FC1–3L
15 Sepvs BFC Preussen0–1L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Mar 2026Altglienicke v Luckenwalde0–2
Altglienicke vs Luckenwalde head-to-head page →

Regionalliga Nordost table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt161141+2937
2Chemnitzer FC161033+1833
3BFC Dynamo16952+1232
4Hallescher FC16871+1131
5Altglienicke16934+1230
6Erzgebirge Aue16934+730
7FC Carl Zeiss Jena16835+1027
8Greifswalder FC16754+926
9Lokomotive Leipzig16664+324
10Magdeburg II16637-121
11FSV Zwickau16547-919
12SV Babelsberg 0316448-1216
13BFC Preussen16367-315
14BSG Chemie Leipzig16358-714
15Hertha BSC II16268-1512
16Tasmania Berlin163211-2411
17RSV Eintracht162311-209
18Luckenwalde162212-208

More Regionalliga Nordost predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Altglienicke vs Luckenwalde?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.

Who will win Altglienicke vs Luckenwalde?

On our numbers Altglienicke have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Luckenwalde 11%.

How many goals will there be in Altglienicke vs Luckenwalde?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Altglienicke vs Luckenwalde?

Our predicted score is Altglienicke 2–0 Luckenwalde, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Altglienicke vs Luckenwalde?

Altglienicke vs Luckenwalde (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.