Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Carl Zeiss Jena travel to face Erzgebirge Aue on Saturday 31 October in the Regionalliga Nordost, with Erzgebirgsstadion the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Erzgebirge Aue are 6th, upper half, on 30 points after 16 matches; FC Carl Zeiss Jena are 7th (upper half) with 27. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Erzgebirge Aue, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over FSV Zwickau, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
FC Carl Zeiss Jena, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with BFC Dynamo, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FC Carl Zeiss Jena, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Erzgebirge Aue.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Erzgebirge Aue 1.3 xG, FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Erzgebirge Aue 35%, draw 21%, FC Carl Zeiss Jena 44%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.59.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (69%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Erzgebirge Aue 1–1 FC Carl Zeiss Jena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Erzgebirge Aue35%fair 2.83 · @2.49
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.51
FC Carl Zeiss Jena44%fair 2.28 · @2.29
2.77Expected goals
1.29Erzgebirge Aue xG
1.48FC Carl Zeiss Jena xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Erzgebirge Aue 1.3 – 1.5 FC Carl Zeiss Jena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Carl Zeiss Jena to win✗
44%
2.28
2.29
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.59
Draw no bet
FC Carl Zeiss Jena (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Erzgebirge Aue +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.71
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
FC Carl Zeiss Jena to score first✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Carl Zeiss Jena / FT FC Carl Zeiss Jena✗
25%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.31
–
Recent results
Erzgebirge Aue – last 6
WLLLDW
24 Oct
@ FSV Zwickau
3–0
W
18 Oct
vs Hallescher FC
0–1
L
11 Oct
@ Greifswalder FC
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs BSG Chemie Leipzig
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
2–2
D
16 Sep
@ Magdeburg II
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Carl Zeiss Jena – last 6
DWWWLL
23 Oct
vs BFC Dynamo
0–0
D
17 Oct
@ Luckenwalde
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Magdeburg II
2–1
W
25 Sep
@ Tasmania Berlin
5–1
W
20 Sep
vs Lokomotive Leipzig
1–2
L
15 Sep
@ Hallescher FC
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Erzgebirge Aue and FC Carl Zeiss Jena.
What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena?
On our numbers Erzgebirge Aue have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Carl Zeiss Jena 44%.
How many goals will there be in Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena?
Our predicted score is Erzgebirge Aue 1–1 FC Carl Zeiss Jena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena?
Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Erzgebirgsstadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
