BSG Chemie Leipzig v FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt to win ✓61% · @1.58

Double chanceFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt or draw ✓84% · @1.12

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.48

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.10

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.30

BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 6 November the Regionalliga Nordost brings BSG Chemie Leipzig against FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, BSG Chemie Leipzig are 14th, lower half, on 14 points after 16 matches; FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt are 1st (leading the league) with 37. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

BSG Chemie Leipzig, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Greifswalder FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over SV Babelsberg 03, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for BSG Chemie Leipzig.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2–2 BSG Chemie Leipzig.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give BSG Chemie Leipzig 1.1 xG, FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2.3 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – BSG Chemie Leipzig 16%, draw 23%, FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 61%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: BSG Chemie Leipzig 1–2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

BSG Chemie Leipzig16%fair 6.10 · @4.39

Draw23%fair 4.41 · @4.05

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt61%fair 1.64 · @1.58

3.41Expected goals

1.14BSG Chemie Leipzig xG

2.26FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt xG

61%Both score

65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%

1–19%

0–28%

0–18%

1–37%

0–36%

From our goals model: BSG Chemie Leipzig 1.1 – 2.3 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt to win ✓	61%	1.64	1.58
Double chance	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt or draw ✓	84%	1.20	1.12
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	61%	1.63	1.48
Draw no bet	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt (draw no bet) ✓	79%	1.27	–
Asian handicap	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.60	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	65%	1.54	1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	56%	1.79	1.63
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	74%	1.36	1.24
First team to score	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt to score first ✓	64%	1.56	–
Half-time result	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt ahead at half-time ✗	47%	2.14	–
Half-time / full-time	HT FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt / FT FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt ✗	41%	2.46	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	10%	10.30	–

BSG Chemie Leipzig – last 6

DWDLWL

1 Nov	@ Greifswalder FC	1–1	D
25 Oct	vs Hertha BSC II	2–0	W
17 Oct	@ Lokomotive Leipzig	2–2	D
9 Oct	vs Luckenwalde	1–3	L
27 Sep	@ Erzgebirge Aue	2–1	W
20 Sep	vs Chemnitzer FC	1–3	L

1.5Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt – last 6

WWDLWD

1 Nov	vs SV Babelsberg 03	4–1	W
24 Oct	@ Greifswalder FC	3–2	W
16 Oct	vs FSV Zwickau	2–2	D
11 Oct	@ Chemnitzer FC	1–3	L
26 Sep	@ Lokomotive Leipzig	4–3	W
19 Sep	vs Erzgebirge Aue	2–2	D

2.7Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	16	11	4	1	+29	37
2	Chemnitzer FC	16	10	3	3	+18	33
3	BFC Dynamo	16	9	5	2	+12	32
4	Hallescher FC	16	8	7	1	+11	31
5	Altglienicke	16	9	3	4	+12	30
6	Erzgebirge Aue	16	9	3	4	+7	30
7	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	16	8	3	5	+10	27
8	Greifswalder FC	16	7	5	4	+9	26
9	Lokomotive Leipzig	16	6	6	4	+3	24
10	Magdeburg II	16	6	3	7	-1	21
11	FSV Zwickau	16	5	4	7	-9	19
12	SV Babelsberg 03	16	4	4	8	-12	16
13	BFC Preussen	16	3	6	7	-3	15
14	BSG Chemie Leipzig	16	3	5	8	-7	14
15	Hertha BSC II	16	2	6	8	-15	12
16	Tasmania Berlin	16	3	2	11	-24	11
17	RSV Eintracht	16	2	3	11	-20	9
18	Luckenwalde	16	2	2	12	-20	8

Team

Pts

+29

+18

+12

+11

+12

+10

-1

-9

-12

-3

-7

-15

-24

-20

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?

On our numbers BSG Chemie Leipzig have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 61%.

How many goals will there be in BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?

Our predicted score is BSG Chemie Leipzig 1–2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?

BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

BSG Chemie Leipzig v FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt: numbers & prediction