FC 08 Homburg 61%Draw 17%Freiburg II 22%Expected goals 1.93 – 1.02
61%
Betarazi pick
FC 08 Homburg to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Picks by market
ResultFC 08 Homburg to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.33
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.06
FC 08 Homburg vs Freiburg II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Sunday 18 October: FC 08 Homburg v Freiburg II in the Regionalliga SudWest. In the table, FC 08 Homburg are 7th, upper half, on 24 points after 15 matches; Freiburg II are 8th (upper half) with 21. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FC 08 Homburg, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Kickers Offenbach, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Freiburg II, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to SGV Freiberg, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC 08 Homburg 1.9 xG, Freiburg II 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC 08 Homburg 61%, draw 17%, Freiburg II 22%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.33.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FC 08 Homburg to win (61%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC 08 Homburg 1–0 Freiburg II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC 08 Homburg61%fair 1.63 · @1.95
Draw17%fair 6.02 · @3.80
Freiburg II22%fair 4.53 · @2.90
2.95Expected goals
1.93FC 08 Homburg xG
1.02Freiburg II xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: FC 08 Homburg 1.9 – 1.0 Freiburg II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC 08 Homburg to win✓
61%
1.63
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.33
Draw no bet
FC 08 Homburg (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Freiburg II +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
First team to score
FC 08 Homburg to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
FC 08 Homburg ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC 08 Homburg / FT FC 08 Homburg✓
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
FC 08 Homburg – last 6
DDLDWW
9 Oct
@ Kickers Offenbach
2–2
D
3 Oct
vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ TSV Steinbach
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Hessen Kassel
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Eintracht Frankfurt II
2–1
W
9 Sep
vs Kaiserslautern II
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Freiburg II – last 6
LWWLDW
11 Oct
vs SGV Freiberg
1–2
L
3 Oct
@ FSV Mainz 05 II
2–0
W
19 Sep
@ Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
3–2
W
11 Sep
vs SV Sandhausen
1–2
L
8 Sep
@ Eintracht Trier
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs TSV Steinbach
4–3
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC 08 Homburg and Freiburg II.
What is the prediction for FC 08 Homburg vs Freiburg II?
Our pick is FC 08 Homburg to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win FC 08 Homburg vs Freiburg II?
On our numbers FC 08 Homburg have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Freiburg II 22%.
How many goals will there be in FC 08 Homburg vs Freiburg II?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC 08 Homburg vs Freiburg II?
Our predicted score is FC 08 Homburg 1–0 Freiburg II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is FC 08 Homburg vs Freiburg II?
FC 08 Homburg vs Freiburg II (Regionalliga SudWest) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
