Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.64 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.64Odds
Picks by market
ResultFC 08 Homburg to win ✗65% · @1.64
Double chanceFC 08 Homburg or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.58
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11
SSV Ulm 1846 vs FC 08 Homburg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
SSV Ulm 1846 welcome FC 08 Homburg to Donaustadion for a Regionalliga SudWest fixture on Sunday 25 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, SSV Ulm 1846 are 17th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 15 matches; FC 08 Homburg are 7th (upper half) with 24. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
SSV Ulm 1846, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FSV Mainz 05 II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
FC 08 Homburg, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Freiburg II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FC 08 Homburg, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for SSV Ulm 1846.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SSV Ulm 1846 0.9 xG, FC 08 Homburg 2.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SSV Ulm 1846 16%, draw 20%, FC 08 Homburg 65%.
Lower-risk option: FC 08 Homburg or draw (84%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.58.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FC 08 Homburg to win (65%, odds 1.64 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: SSV Ulm 1846 0–2 FC 08 Homburg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SSV Ulm 184616%fair 6.44 · @4.04
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.95
FC 08 Homburg65%fair 1.54 · @1.64
2.97Expected goals
0.90SSV Ulm 1846 xG
2.08FC 08 Homburg xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: SSV Ulm 1846 0.9 – 2.1 FC 08 Homburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC 08 Homburg to win✗
65%
1.54
1.64 ▲
Double chance
FC 08 Homburg or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.58
Draw no bet
FC 08 Homburg (draw no bet)
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
FC 08 Homburg -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
FC 08 Homburg to score first✗
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
FC 08 Homburg ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC 08 Homburg / FT FC 08 Homburg✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
SSV Ulm 1846 – last 6
DWDLDL
17 Oct
@ FSV Mainz 05 II
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Eintracht Frankfurt II
1–0
W
3 Oct
@ Hessen Kassel
2–2
D
26 Sep
vs Eintracht Trier
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ SV Sandhausen
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs FSV Frankfurt
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC 08 Homburg – last 6
WDDLDW
18 Oct
vs Freiburg II
2–1
W
9 Oct
@ Kickers Offenbach
2–2
D
3 Oct
vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ TSV Steinbach
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Hessen Kassel
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Eintracht Frankfurt II
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SSV Ulm 1846 and FC 08 Homburg.
What is the prediction for SSV Ulm 1846 vs FC 08 Homburg?
Our pick is FC 08 Homburg to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.64.
Who will win SSV Ulm 1846 vs FC 08 Homburg?
On our numbers SSV Ulm 1846 have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC 08 Homburg 65%.
How many goals will there be in SSV Ulm 1846 vs FC 08 Homburg?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SSV Ulm 1846 vs FC 08 Homburg?
Our predicted score is SSV Ulm 1846 0–2 FC 08 Homburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is SSV Ulm 1846 vs FC 08 Homburg?
SSV Ulm 1846 vs FC 08 Homburg (Regionalliga SudWest) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Donaustadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
