Value bet: Sportfreunde Lotte to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSportfreunde Lotte to win ✗40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.51
Sportfreunde Lotte vs Bochum II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bochum II travel to face Sportfreunde Lotte on Sunday 23 August in the Regionalliga West – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Sportfreunde Lotte are 18th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 16 matches; Bochum II are 13th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Sportfreunde Lotte, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Bonner SC, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Bochum II, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Rot-weiss Oberhausen, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Apr 2026) it ended Sportfreunde Lotte 2–2 Bochum II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sportfreunde Lotte 1.1 xG, Bochum II 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sportfreunde Lotte 40%, draw 22%, Bochum II 38%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Sportfreunde Lotte to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportfreunde Lotte 1–1 Bochum II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sportfreunde Lotte40%fair 2.50 · @2.75
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Bochum II38%fair 2.61 · @2.25
2.17Expected goals
1.10Sportfreunde Lotte xG
1.07Bochum II xG
56%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sportfreunde Lotte 1.1 – 1.1 Bochum II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sportfreunde Lotte vs Bochum II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Sportfreunde Lotte vs Bochum II?
On our numbers Sportfreunde Lotte have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bochum II 38%.
How many goals will there be in Sportfreunde Lotte vs Bochum II?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportfreunde Lotte vs Bochum II?
Our predicted score is Sportfreunde Lotte 1–1 Bochum II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sportfreunde Lotte vs Bochum II?
Sportfreunde Lotte vs Bochum II (Regionalliga West) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
