Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Sportfreunde Siegen to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSportfreunde Siegen to win ✗64% · @1.75
Double chanceSportfreunde Siegen or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bonner SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bonner SC travel to face Sportfreunde Siegen on Saturday 12 September in the Regionalliga West, with Leimbachstadion the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Sportfreunde Siegen are 5th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; Bonner SC are 6th (upper half) with 24.
Current form
Sportfreunde Siegen, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over FC Bocholt, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Bonner SC, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Köln II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (2 May 2026) it ended Sportfreunde Siegen 1–2 Bonner SC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sportfreunde Siegen 2.2 xG, Bonner SC 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sportfreunde Siegen 64%, draw 21%, Bonner SC 15%.
Lower-risk option: Sportfreunde Siegen or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Sportfreunde Siegen to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sportfreunde Siegen or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportfreunde Siegen 2–0 Bonner SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sportfreunde Siegen64%fair 1.56 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.40
Bonner SC15%fair 6.56 · @3.90
3.21Expected goals
2.21Sportfreunde Siegen xG
1.00Bonner SC xG
59%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sportfreunde Siegen 2.2 – 1.0 Bonner SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bonner SC?
Our pick is Sportfreunde Siegen or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bonner SC?
On our numbers Sportfreunde Siegen have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bonner SC 15%.
How many goals will there be in Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bonner SC?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bonner SC?
Our predicted score is Sportfreunde Siegen 2–0 Bonner SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bonner SC?
Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bonner SC (Regionalliga West) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Leimbachstadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
