Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.47 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.47Odds
1
Value bet: SV Rodinghausen to win @ 1.88 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSV Rodinghausen to win ✓58% · @1.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.51
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.12
SV Rodinghausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
SV Rodinghausen welcome Sportfreunde Lotte for a Regionalliga West fixture on Saturday 3 October (13:00 WAT). In the table, SV Rodinghausen are 15th, lower half, on 14 points after 16 matches; Sportfreunde Lotte are 18th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
SV Rodinghausen, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Rot-weiss Oberhausen, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Sportfreunde Lotte, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Borussia M'gladbach II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Mar 2026) it ended Sportfreunde Lotte 3–0 SV Rodinghausen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SV Rodinghausen 1.9 xG, Sportfreunde Lotte 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SV Rodinghausen 58%, draw 19%, Sportfreunde Lotte 23%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.51.
Price worth noting: SV Rodinghausen to win @1.88 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.47). Most likely score in line with that pick: SV Rodinghausen 1–1 Sportfreunde Lotte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SV Rodinghausen58%fair 1.74 · @1.88
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @3.40
Sportfreunde Lotte23%fair 4.27 · @3.38
2.96Expected goals
1.87SV Rodinghausen xG
1.08Sportfreunde Lotte xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: SV Rodinghausen 1.9 – 1.1 Sportfreunde Lotte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for SV Rodinghausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.47.
Who will win SV Rodinghausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte?
On our numbers SV Rodinghausen have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sportfreunde Lotte 23%.
How many goals will there be in SV Rodinghausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SV Rodinghausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte?
Our predicted score is SV Rodinghausen 1–1 Sportfreunde Lotte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is SV Rodinghausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte?
SV Rodinghausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte (Regionalliga West) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
