Sportfreunde Lotte 19%Draw 21%Paderborn II 60%Expected goals 1.09 – 2.09
81%
Betarazi pick
Paderborn II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultPaderborn II to win ✗60% · @1.67
Double chancePaderborn II or draw ✗81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Sportfreunde Lotte vs Paderborn II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Sportfreunde Lotte v Paderborn II in the Regionalliga West. In the table, Sportfreunde Lotte are 18th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 16 matches; Paderborn II are 12th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Sportfreunde Lotte, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to SV Rodinghausen, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Paderborn II, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Rot-weiss Oberhausen, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Paderborn II, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.0 for Sportfreunde Lotte.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sportfreunde Lotte 1.1 xG, Paderborn II 2.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sportfreunde Lotte 19%, draw 21%, Paderborn II 60%.
Lower-risk option: Paderborn II or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Paderborn II or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportfreunde Lotte 1–2 Paderborn II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sportfreunde Lotte19%fair 5.30 · @4.00
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.70
Paderborn II60%fair 1.67 · @1.67
3.18Expected goals
1.09Sportfreunde Lotte xG
2.09Paderborn II xG
61%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Sportfreunde Lotte 1.1 – 2.1 Paderborn II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paderborn II to win✗
60%
1.67
1.67
Double chance
Paderborn II or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.53
Draw no bet
Paderborn II (draw no bet)✗
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Paderborn II -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Paderborn II to score first✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Paderborn II ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paderborn II / FT Paderborn II✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Sportfreunde Lotte – last 6
LLLLLL
3 Oct
@ SV Rodinghausen
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs Borussia M'gladbach II
0–5
L
19 Sep
@ Schalke 04 II
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Hilden
0–3
L
5 Sep
@ Westfalia Rhynern
2–3
L
2 Sep
vs Bergisch Gladbach
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Paderborn II – last 6
LWDLWD
4 Oct
@ Rot-weiss Oberhausen
0–4
L
25 Sep
@ FC Gutersloh
3–1
W
21 Sep
vs Borussia Dortmund II
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Wiedenbrück
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs SG Wattenscheid 09
5–2
W
2 Sep
@ Sportfreunde Siegen
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportfreunde Lotte and Paderborn II.
What is the prediction for Sportfreunde Lotte vs Paderborn II?
Our pick is Paderborn II or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sportfreunde Lotte vs Paderborn II?
On our numbers Sportfreunde Lotte have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Paderborn II 60%.
How many goals will there be in Sportfreunde Lotte vs Paderborn II?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportfreunde Lotte vs Paderborn II?
Our predicted score is Sportfreunde Lotte 1–2 Paderborn II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Sportfreunde Lotte vs Paderborn II?
Sportfreunde Lotte vs Paderborn II (Regionalliga West) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
