Morecambe vs Hereford: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Morecambe welcome Hereford to The Mazuma Stadium for a National League North fixture on Tuesday 10 November (20:45 WAT). In the table, Morecambe are 9th, upper half, on 24 points after 16 matches; Hereford are 2nd (among the top four) with 30.
Current form
Morecambe, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 2–6 defeat to Hednesford Town, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Hereford, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Chorley, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Morecambe 1.5 xG, Hereford 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Morecambe 46%, draw 21%, Hereford 33%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Morecambe 1–1 Hereford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Morecambe46%fair 2.15 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
Hereford33%fair 3.07 · @2.70
2.70Expected goals
1.50Morecambe xG
1.20Hereford xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Morecambe 1.5 – 1.2 Hereford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Morecambe to win✗
46%
2.15
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.53
Draw no bet
Morecambe (draw no bet)
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Hereford +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.17
First team to score
Morecambe to score first✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Morecambe / FT Morecambe✗
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.01
–
Recent results
Morecambe – last 6
LWWWLL
7 Nov
@ Hednesford Town
2–6
L
31 Oct
vs Scarborough Athletic
2–0
W
27 Oct
vs Darlington 1883
1–0
W
24 Oct
@ Merthyr Town
3–1
W
17 Oct
@ AFC Rushden & Diamonds
1–2
L
10 Oct
@ Worksop Town
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hereford – last 6
WLLWLD
7 Nov
@ Chorley
2–1
W
31 Oct
vs King's Lynn Town
0–3
L
27 Oct
vs AFC Telford United
0–1
L
24 Oct
@ Macclesfield
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Hednesford Town
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Bedford Town
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Morecambe and Hereford.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Morecambe vs Hereford?
On our numbers Morecambe have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hereford 33%.
How many goals will there be in Morecambe vs Hereford?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Morecambe vs Hereford?
Our predicted score is Morecambe 1–1 Hereford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Morecambe vs Hereford?
Morecambe vs Hereford (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Mazuma Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
