Ebbsfleet United 59%Draw 24%Folkestone Invicta 17%Expected goals 1.71 – 0.79
83%
Betarazi pick
Ebbsfleet United or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Ebbsfleet United to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultEbbsfleet United to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceEbbsfleet United or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.55
Ebbsfleet United vs Folkestone Invicta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Folkestone Invicta travel to face Ebbsfleet United on Tuesday 6 October in the National League South, with Stonebridge Road Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Ebbsfleet United are 1st, leading the league, on 35 points after 16 matches; Folkestone Invicta are 15th (lower half) with 20. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ebbsfleet United, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sholing, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Folkestone Invicta, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Salisbury, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ebbsfleet United, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Folkestone Invicta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ebbsfleet United 1.7 xG, Folkestone Invicta 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ebbsfleet United 59%, draw 24%, Folkestone Invicta 17%.
Lower-risk option: Ebbsfleet United or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Ebbsfleet United to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ebbsfleet United or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ebbsfleet United 1–0 Folkestone Invicta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ebbsfleet United59%fair 1.69 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.40
Folkestone Invicta17%fair 5.97 · @3.60
2.50Expected goals
1.71Ebbsfleet United xG
0.79Folkestone Invicta xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Ebbsfleet United 1.7 – 0.8 Folkestone Invicta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ebbsfleet United to win✓
59%
1.69
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Ebbsfleet United or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.62
Draw no bet
Ebbsfleet United (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Folkestone Invicta +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Ebbsfleet United to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ebbsfleet United / FT Ebbsfleet United✓
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.55
–
Recent results
Ebbsfleet United – last 6
LDWWDD
3 Oct
vs Sholing
1–2
L
29 Sep
@ Slough Town
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Tonbridge Angels
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Maidenhead
3–1
W
12 Sep
vs Salisbury
1–1
D
8 Sep
vs Hemel Hempstead Town
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Folkestone Invicta – last 6
LLLDLW
26 Sep
@ Salisbury
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Dover
2–4
L
12 Sep
vs Farnham Town
1–2
L
8 Sep
vs Horsham
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Torquay
2–3
L
31 Aug
vs Hemel Hempstead Town
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ebbsfleet United and Folkestone Invicta.
What is the prediction for Ebbsfleet United vs Folkestone Invicta?
Our pick is Ebbsfleet United or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ebbsfleet United vs Folkestone Invicta?
On our numbers Ebbsfleet United have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Folkestone Invicta 17%.
How many goals will there be in Ebbsfleet United vs Folkestone Invicta?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ebbsfleet United vs Folkestone Invicta?
Our predicted score is Ebbsfleet United 1–0 Folkestone Invicta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ebbsfleet United vs Folkestone Invicta?
Ebbsfleet United vs Folkestone Invicta (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stonebridge Road Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
