Chelmsford City 22%Draw 17%Ebbsfleet United 61%Expected goals 1.02 – 1.94
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Ebbsfleet United to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEbbsfleet United to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ebbsfleet United travel to face Chelmsford City on Monday 9 November in the National League South, with Melbourne Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Chelmsford City are 8th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; Ebbsfleet United are 1st (leading the league) with 35.
Current form
Chelmsford City, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Farnborough, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Ebbsfleet United, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Chesham United, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chelmsford City 1.0 xG, Ebbsfleet United 1.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chelmsford City 22%, draw 17%, Ebbsfleet United 61%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Ebbsfleet United to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chelmsford City 1–1 Ebbsfleet United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chelmsford City22%fair 4.56 · @3.50
Draw17%fair 6.00 · @3.60
Ebbsfleet United61%fair 1.63 · @1.80
2.96Expected goals
1.02Chelmsford City xG
1.94Ebbsfleet United xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
0–110%
1–210%
0–210%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Chelmsford City 1.0 – 1.9 Ebbsfleet United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ebbsfleet United to win✗
61%
1.63
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.65
1.62
Draw no bet
Ebbsfleet United (draw no bet)
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Chelmsford City +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
First team to score
Ebbsfleet United to score first
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Ebbsfleet United ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ebbsfleet United / FT Ebbsfleet United✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Chelmsford City – last 6
WLWWDL
7 Nov
vs Farnborough
2–1
W
2 Nov
vs Farnham Town
0–2
L
31 Oct
@ AFC Totton
3–1
W
27 Oct
@ Dover
1–0
W
24 Oct
vs Tonbridge Angels
3–3
D
17 Oct
@ Wimborne Town
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ebbsfleet United – last 6
WWLWWD
7 Nov
vs Chesham United
1–0
W
3 Nov
@ Farnborough
6–0
W
31 Oct
@ Truro City
0–3
L
27 Oct
@ Maidstone Utd
3–1
W
24 Oct
vs Maidenhead
4–0
W
20 Oct
vs Horsham
2–2
D
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelmsford City and Ebbsfleet United.
What is the prediction for Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United?
On our numbers Chelmsford City have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Ebbsfleet United 61%.
How many goals will there be in Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United?
Our predicted score is Chelmsford City 1–1 Ebbsfleet United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United?
Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United (National League South) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Melbourne Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
