Truro City v Salisbury Prediction & Expected Goals (15 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultTruro City to win ✗58% · @1.75

Double chanceTruro City or draw ✓82% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.67

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.77

Truro City vs Salisbury: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Tuesday 15 September: Truro City v Salisbury in the National League South, played at Truro Sports Hub. In the table, Truro City are 4th, among the top four, on 30 points after 14 matches; Salisbury are 3rd (among the top four) with 31. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Truro City, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Walton & Hersham, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Salisbury, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ebbsfleet United, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Truro City, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Salisbury.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Truro City 1.6 xG, Salisbury 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Truro City 58%, draw 23%, Salisbury 18%.
Lower-risk option: Truro City or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Truro City or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Truro City 1–0 Salisbury. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Truro City58%fair 1.71 · @1.75

Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.30

Salisbury18%fair 5.43 · @4.20

2.40Expected goals

1.62Truro City xG

0.78Salisbury xG

54%Both score

43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%

2–012%

1–111%

2–19%

0–09%

0–17%

From our goals model: Truro City 1.6 – 0.8 Salisbury expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Truro City to win ✗	58%	1.71	1.75
Double chance	Truro City or draw ✓	82%	1.23	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	54%	1.86	1.67
Draw no bet	Truro City (draw no bet)	76%	1.32	–
Asian handicap	Salisbury +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	69%	1.46	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	57%	1.76	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.11	–
First team to score	Truro City to score first ✗	62%	1.62	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	44%	2.28	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Truro City / FT Truro City ✗	35%	2.83	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.77	–

Truro City – last 6

DWWLWW

12 Sep	vs Walton & Hersham	1–1	D
8 Sep	vs Leicester City U21	4–1	W
5 Sep	vs Chesham United	3–1	W
31 Aug	@ Dorking Wanderers	0–1	L
29 Aug	vs Dagenham & Redbridge	3–0	W
22 Aug	@ Tonbridge Angels	2–0	W

2.2Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Salisbury – last 6

DWDWLL

12 Sep	@ Ebbsfleet United	1–1	D
8 Sep	vs Slough Town	5–1	W
5 Sep	@ Chelmsford City	1–1	D
31 Aug	vs Billericay Town	1–0	W
29 Aug	@ Maidstone Utd	1–2	L
22 Aug	vs Hemel Hempstead Town	1–2	L

1.7Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

83%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	16	10	5	1	+26	35
2	Maidstone Utd	16	10	2	4	+9	32
3	Salisbury	15	9	4	2	+17	31
4	Truro City	14	9	3	2	+15	30
5	Farnham Town	16	9	2	5	+12	29
6	Dorking Wanderers	15	7	6	2	+11	27
7	Billericay Town	14	7	5	2	+16	26
8	Chelmsford City	16	5	10	1	+8	25
9	Dagenham & Redbridge	16	7	4	5	+2	25
10	Tonbridge Angels	16	7	3	6	+9	24
11	Torquay	15	6	5	4	+7	23
12	Horsham	16	5	7	4	+4	22
13	Dover	14	6	4	4	+1	22
14	Weston-super-Mare	15	6	3	6	+3	21
15	Folkestone Invicta	15	5	5	5	+4	20
16	AFC Totton	16	6	1	9	-12	19
17	Farnborough	16	5	2	9	-20	17
18	Maidenhead	16	3	7	6	-5	16
19	Braintree	16	5	1	10	-18	16
20	Hemel Hempstead Town	17	3	6	8	-11	15
21	Chesham United	15	3	2	10	-13	11
22	Hampton & Richmond	16	2	4	10	-18	10
23	Walton & Hersham	15	2	2	11	-25	8
24	Slough Town	16	2	1	13	-22	7

Team

Pts

+26

+17

+15

+12

+11

+16

-12

-20

-5

-18

-11

-13

-18

-25

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Truro City vs Salisbury?

Our pick is Truro City or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Truro City vs Salisbury?

On our numbers Truro City have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Salisbury 18%.

How many goals will there be in Truro City vs Salisbury?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Truro City vs Salisbury?

Our predicted score is Truro City 1–0 Salisbury, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Truro City vs Salisbury?

Truro City vs Salisbury (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Truro Sports Hub.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Truro City v Salisbury: numbers & prediction