Value bet: Maidenhead to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultChelmsford City to win ✓42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓63% · fair 1.59
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.23
Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chelmsford City welcome Maidenhead for a National League South fixture on Saturday 29 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Chelmsford City are 8th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; Maidenhead are 18th (lower half) with 16.
Current form
Chelmsford City, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Folkestone Invicta, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Maidenhead, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Farnborough, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chelmsford City 0.7 xG, Maidenhead 0.6 xG – a total near 1.3. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 86%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chelmsford City 42%, draw 22%, Maidenhead 36%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Maidenhead to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (53%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.90, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chelmsford City 0–0 Maidenhead. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chelmsford City42%fair 2.37 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.30
Maidenhead36%fair 2.77 · @3.25
1.29Expected goals
0.69Chelmsford City xG
0.60Maidenhead xG
47%Both score
14%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–028%
1–019%
0–116%
1–111%
2–07%
0–25%
From our goals model: Chelmsford City 0.7 – 0.6 Maidenhead expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelmsford City to win✓
42%
2.37
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.95
Draw no bet
Chelmsford City (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Maidenhead +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
99%
1.01
–
First team to score
Chelmsford City to score first✓
39%
2.56
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
19%
5.23
–
Recent results
Chelmsford City – last 6
DDDWDD
22 Aug
@ Folkestone Invicta
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Truro City
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Hemel Hempstead Town
1–1
D
11 Jul
@ Bishop's Stortford
3–1
W
14 Apr
@ AFC Hornchurch
3–3
D
6 Apr
@ Dagenham & Redbridge
3–3
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Maidenhead – last 6
DWDLLD
22 Aug
vs Farnborough
1–1
D
18 Aug
@ Hemel Hempstead Town
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs Dorking Wanderers
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Truro City
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Brackley Town
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Wimborne Town
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelmsford City and Maidenhead.
What is the prediction for Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead?
On our numbers Chelmsford City have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Maidenhead 36%.
How many goals will there be in Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead?
We expect about 1.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 14% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead?
Our predicted score is Chelmsford City 0–0 Maidenhead, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.3 goals in total.
When is Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead?
Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
