Ebbsfleet United v Horsham Prediction & Expected Goals (20 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultEbbsfleet United to win ✗69% · @1.44

Double chanceEbbsfleet United or draw ✓91% · @1.11

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.75

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.65

Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 20 October the National League South brings Ebbsfleet United against Horsham at Stonebridge Road Stadium. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Ebbsfleet United are 1st, leading the league, on 35 points after 16 matches; Horsham are 12th (upper half) with 22. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Ebbsfleet United, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Weston-super-Mare, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Horsham, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Slough Town, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ebbsfleet United, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Horsham.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Feb 2026) it ended Horsham 1–1 Ebbsfleet United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ebbsfleet United 1.9 xG, Horsham 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Ebbsfleet United 69%, draw 21%, Horsham 9%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ebbsfleet United to win (69%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ebbsfleet United 1–0 Horsham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ebbsfleet United69%fair 1.44 · @1.44

Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.90

Horsham9%fair 10.57 · @6.00

2.45Expected goals

1.90Ebbsfleet United xG

0.55Horsham xG

51%Both score

44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%

2–016%

3–010%

1–19%

0–09%

2–19%

From our goals model: Ebbsfleet United 1.9 – 0.6 Horsham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Ebbsfleet United to win ✗	69%	1.44	1.44
Double chance	Ebbsfleet United or draw ✓	91%	1.10	1.11
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	51%	1.95	1.75
Draw no bet	Ebbsfleet United (draw no bet)	88%	1.14	–
Asian handicap	Ebbsfleet United -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	70%	1.42	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	56%	1.80	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.11	–
First team to score	Ebbsfleet United to score first ✗	71%	1.41	–
Half-time result	Ebbsfleet United ahead at half-time ✗	48%	2.07	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Ebbsfleet United / FT Ebbsfleet United ✗	45%	2.23	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.65	–

Ebbsfleet United – last 6

WWWWLD

17 Oct	vs Weston-super-Mare	6–1	W
13 Oct	vs AFC Totton	5–0	W
10 Oct	@ Hampton & Richmond	2–0	W
6 Oct	vs Folkestone Invicta	1–0	W
3 Oct	vs Sholing	1–2	L
29 Sep	@ Slough Town	1–1	D

2.7Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Horsham – last 6

WLLDWL

17 Oct	@ Slough Town	2–1	W
10 Oct	vs Maidstone Utd	1–2	L
3 Oct	@ Plymouth Parkway	1–2	L
26 Sep	@ Chelmsford City	0–0	D
19 Sep	@ Walton & Hersham	3–0	W
12 Sep	vs Chesham United	1–4	L

1.3Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

National League South table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	16	10	5	1	+26	35
2	Maidstone Utd	16	10	2	4	+9	32
3	Salisbury	15	9	4	2	+17	31
4	Truro City	14	9	3	2	+15	30
5	Farnham Town	16	9	2	5	+12	29
6	Dorking Wanderers	15	7	6	2	+11	27
7	Billericay Town	14	7	5	2	+16	26
8	Chelmsford City	16	5	10	1	+8	25
9	Dagenham & Redbridge	16	7	4	5	+2	25
10	Tonbridge Angels	16	7	3	6	+9	24
11	Torquay	15	6	5	4	+7	23
12	Horsham	16	5	7	4	+4	22
13	Dover	14	6	4	4	+1	22
14	Weston-super-Mare	15	6	3	6	+3	21
15	Folkestone Invicta	15	5	5	5	+4	20
16	AFC Totton	16	6	1	9	-12	19
17	Farnborough	16	5	2	9	-20	17
18	Maidenhead	16	3	7	6	-5	16
19	Braintree	16	5	1	10	-18	16
20	Hemel Hempstead Town	17	3	6	8	-11	15
21	Chesham United	15	3	2	10	-13	11
22	Hampton & Richmond	16	2	4	10	-18	10
23	Walton & Hersham	15	2	2	11	-25	8
24	Slough Town	16	2	1	13	-22	7

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham?

Our pick is Ebbsfleet United to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham?

On our numbers Ebbsfleet United have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Horsham 9%.

How many goals will there be in Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham?

Our predicted score is Ebbsfleet United 1–0 Horsham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham?

Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stonebridge Road Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Ebbsfleet United v Horsham: numbers & prediction