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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chelmsford City v Farnborough: numbers & prediction

2–1
FT
Chelmsford City 65%Draw 24%Farnborough 11% Expected goals 2.12 – 0.82
65%
Betarazi pick

Chelmsford City to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultChelmsford City to win ✓65% · @1.50
Double chanceChelmsford City or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.26

Chelmsford City vs Farnborough: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Farnborough travel to face Chelmsford City on Saturday 7 November in the National League South – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Chelmsford City are 8th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; Farnborough are 17th (lower half) with 17.

Current form

Chelmsford City, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Farnham Town, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Farnborough, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Ebbsfleet United, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Chelmsford City, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Farnborough.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Mar 2026) it ended Farnborough 4–2 Chelmsford City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chelmsford City 2.1 xG, Farnborough 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chelmsford City 65%, draw 24%, Farnborough 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Chelmsford City to win (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chelmsford City 2–0 Farnborough. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chelmsford City65%fair 1.53 · @1.50
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @4.10
Farnborough11%fair 8.93 · @4.75
2.95Expected goals
2.12Chelmsford City xG
0.82Farnborough xG
57%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Chelmsford City 2.1 – 0.8 Farnborough expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChelmsford City to win ✓65%1.531.50
Double chanceChelmsford City or draw ✓89%1.131.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.751.57
Draw no betChelmsford City (draw no bet) ✓85%1.17–
Asian handicapChelmsford City -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.651.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.641.67
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.291.28
First team to scoreChelmsford City to score first ✗68%1.46–
Half-time resultChelmsford City ahead at half-time ✗49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chelmsford City / FT Chelmsford City ✗44%2.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.26–

Recent results

Chelmsford City – last 6

LWWDLW
2 Novvs Farnham Town0–2L
31 Oct@ AFC Totton3–1W
27 Oct@ Dover1–0W
24 Octvs Tonbridge Angels3–3D
17 Oct@ Wimborne Town0–1L
10 Oct@ Chesham United5–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Farnborough – last 6

LLWLWL
3 Novvs Ebbsfleet United0–6L
31 Octvs Horsham0–5L
28 Octvs Weston-super-Mare2–1W
24 Oct@ Folkestone Invicta0–2L
17 Octvs Dagenham & Redbridge2–0W
10 Oct@ Billericay Town0–4L
0.7Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Mar 2026Farnborough v Chelmsford City4–2
Chelmsford City vs Farnborough head-to-head page →

National League South table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ebbsfleet United161051+2635
2Maidstone Utd161024+932
3Salisbury15942+1731
4Truro City14932+1530
5Farnham Town16925+1229
6Dorking Wanderers15762+1127
7Billericay Town14752+1626
8Chelmsford City165101+825
9Dagenham & Redbridge16745+225
10Tonbridge Angels16736+924
11Torquay15654+723
12Horsham16574+422
13Dover14644+122
14Weston-super-Mare15636+321
15Folkestone Invicta15555+420
16AFC Totton16619-1219
17Farnborough16529-2017
18Maidenhead16376-516
19Braintree165110-1816
20Hemel Hempstead Town17368-1115
21Chesham United153210-1311
22Hampton & Richmond162410-1810
23Walton & Hersham152211-258
24Slough Town162113-227

More National League South predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chelmsford City vs Farnborough?

Our pick is Chelmsford City to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Chelmsford City vs Farnborough?

On our numbers Chelmsford City have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Farnborough 11%.

How many goals will there be in Chelmsford City vs Farnborough?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chelmsford City vs Farnborough?

Our predicted score is Chelmsford City 2–0 Farnborough, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Chelmsford City vs Farnborough?

Chelmsford City vs Farnborough (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.